England v New Zealand cricket World Cup final preview, player tips & predictions
Welcome to our ICC World Cup predictions for the final between England and New Zealand at Lord’s, London. Our Cricket World Cup betting expert runs the rule over the two teams in search of some value bets.
Home team England are rated $1.28 favourites to claim their first ICC World Cup title when they play New Zealand in the final on Sunday at Lord’s.
And that is a fair price given the red-hot form the English have struck since they were on the verge of being dumped out of the tournament before the semi-final stage.
Whatever the result we will have a first-time champion of the ODI World Cup. England are playing in their first decider since they lost in 1992 against Pakistan at the MCG, while New Zealand made the final four years ago before being pole-axed by five-time champions Australia, also at the MCG.
So what has turned around England’s form? Clearly the return of power-hitting opener Jason Roy from a hamstring injury. He has restored the confidence that England can rack up massive totals and also his return has brought about a massive change in outlook for opening partner Jonny Bairstow.
The pair have been irresistible in recent matches and even managed to make runs when chasing against Australia in the semi-final, though to be honest the meagre Australian total was not high enough to apply any real pressure on a good batting track.
New Zealand will be hoping this ICC cricket World Cup is the first leg of a memorable double, or even treble, for the small nation, with the All Blacks hot favourites to win another Rugby World Cup in Japan later this year and the Silver Ferns among the favourites in the 2019 Netball World Cup starting later this week.
Mind you, England are also in the min in all three of those events, and an expectant nation would be shocked if they fell at the first hurdle at Lord’s on Sunday.
It pays to check leading cricket bookies William Hill on the day of the match to spot any late specials on offer. For example, your tip for top batsman could be among the enhanced odds offering.
Thursday 30 May – Sunday 14 July 2019
This England v New Zealand betting preview will run you through betting options for match 48 of 48 of the ICC World Cup 2019.
England v New Zealand
Venue: Lord’s, London, Sunday, July 14, 10.30am (British time)
Head to head odds: England $1.28; New Zealand $3.60
Last time they met: England 8-305 (50 overs; Bairstow 106, Roy 60) d New Zealand 186 (45 overs; Tom Latham 57, Mark Wood 3-34) at The Riverside Durham, Chester-le-Street, July 3.
England v New Zealand odds:
For full odds visit the William Hill website.
HEAD TO HEAD BETTING:
England $1.28, New Zealand $3.60
Prediction: We shy away from anything shorter than $1.28 but acknowledge that is a fair price in this match-up. Almost all non-English fans will be on the New Zealand bandwagon as fair as causing an upset goes, but not necessarily with their wagering dollar.
TOP RUN-SCORER BETTING PREDICTIONS:
Top run-scorers betting: Jonny Bairstow $3.75, Joe Root $4, Jason Roy $4, James Vince $6, Eoin Morgan $6.50, Jos Buttler $8, Ben Stokes $9.
Top England scorers from all World Cup 2019 matches:
v Australia: Jason Roy 85
v New Zealand: Jonny Bairstow 106
v India: Jonny Bairstow 111
v Australia: Ben Stokes 89
v Sri Lanka: Ben Stokes 82no
v Afghanistan: Eoin Morgan 148
v West Indies: Joe Root 100no
v Bangladesh: Jason Roy 153
v Pakistan: Joe Root 107
v South Africa: Ben Stokes 89
Top run-scorers betting: Kane Williamson $3, Ross Taylor $4.50, Martin Guptill $5, Henry Nicholls $6, Colin Munro $6.
Top NZ scorers from all World Cup 2019 matches:
v India: Ross Taylor 74
v England: Tom Latham 57
v Australia: Kane Williamson 40
v Pakistan: Jimmy Neesham 97no
v West Indies: Kane Williamson 148
v South Africa: Kane Williamson 106no
v India: Match abandoned
v Afghanistan: Kane Williamson 79no
v Bangladesh: Ross Taylor 82
v Sri Lanka: Martin Guptill 73no
Top batter prediction: Lord’s has not been a particularly high-scoring venue during this tournament, unless you are Pakistan who racked up scores of over 300 twice. England were bowled out at Lord’s for 221 against Australia, while New Zealand made just 157 against the same side. Interesting in this two matches Australian left-armers Mitchell Starc and Jason Behrendorff combined for 16 wickets, including nine of England’s 10! And left-armer Trent Boult took four wickets against Australia, so the England batsmen must be ultra-cautious against the classy Boult. That is why we are tipping outside the obvious top three of the English order to top-score and will go with Ben Stokes ($9), who would love nothing more than to get among the runs and wickets against his former countrymen. For the Kiwis, we jumped on Ross Taylor in the semi-final and he duly delivered. He is usually a player who holds his form and while the English will heavily target ace batsman Kane Williamson, we think Taylor is a dangerous proposition indeed.
TOP WICKET-TAKER BETTING PREDICTION:
Top wicket-takers betting: Jofra Archer $3.75, Chris Woakes $4.33, Adil Rashid $4.50, Mark Wood $5, Tom Curran $5, Liam Plunkett $5.50.
Top England wicket-takers from all World Cup 2019 matches:
v Australia: Chris Woakes 3-20, Adil Rashid 3-54
v New Zealand: Mark Wood 3-34
v India: Liam Plunkett 3-55
v Australia: Chris Woakes 2-46
v Sri Lanka: Jofra Archer 3-52, Mark Wood 3-40
v Afghanistan: Jofra Archer 3-52, Adil Rashid 3-66
v West Indies: Jofra Archer 3-30, Mark Wood 3-18
v Bangladesh: Jofra Archer 3-29, Ben Stokes 3-23
v Pakistan: Chris Woakes 3-71, Moeen Ali 3-50
v South Africa: Jofra Archer 3-27
Top wicket-takers betting: Trent Boult $3.75, Lockie Ferguson $4.33, Matt Henry $4.50, Tim Southee $5, Ish Sodhi $5, Mitch Santner $6, Ish Sodhi.
Top NZ wicket-takers from all World Cup 2019 matches:
v India: Matt Henry 3-37
v England: Trent Boult 2-54, Matt Henry 2-54, Jimmy Neesham 2-41
v Australia: Trent Boult 4-51
v Pakistan: Trent Boult 1-48, Lockie Ferguson 1-50, Kane Williamson 1-39
v West Indies: Trent Boult 4-30
v South Africa: Lockie Ferguson 3-59
v India: Match abandoned
v Afghanistan: Jimmy Neesham 5-31
v Bangladesh: Matt Henry 4-47
v Sri Lanka: Matt Henry 3-29, Lockie Ferguson 3-22
Top bowler tip: As mentioned above, Trent Boult as a left-arm swing bowler poses a massive threat and we will tip him with real confidence to be leading wicket-taker for NZ, at hopefully enhanced odds with William Hill. Boult has improved as the tournament has worn on and this could be his final crack on the ICC World Cup stage. For England, Jofra Archer has been a good outcome for us all series and has rarely let us down. Archer. will do us to top England’s wicket-takers in the final at Lord’s.
Best bets: England v New Zealand
Each of our ICC World Cup betting previews will highlight some potential wins for punters, or where our cricket tipsters think there is value to be found.
Man of the match Trent Boult $17
We think this is great value because if the Black Caps are to spring a surprise and win this match, there is every chance it is Boult who has ripped through the England top order to facilitate that. We also feel it is more likely New Zealand will win if it is a low-scoring affair and again Boult would like be likely to come to the fore. Good value, we believe anyway.
Man of the match Jofra Archer $17
Again sticking with the theme of the ball doing well in the final under pressure conditions, Archer is always dangerous and was a little unlucky not to snare a couple of extra wickets against Australia in the semi-final.
England v New Zealand predictions
If England win the toss and bat and their openers get away to a flyer, this match could be taken out of the Kiwis’ hands very quickly. But we are expecting the pressure of the big occasion and the swing on offer at Lord’s to make it much more difficult to free-wheel and rack up a big total. As neutral fans we are hoping for an absorbing contest … and for Boult and Archer to grab plenty of wickets! Whatever the outcome, it has been a magnificent tournament. Grab the popcorn and enjoy the final, even if it is not the one everyone expected when the tournament began six weeks ago.
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