Richmond v GWS betting tips, predictions and odds analysis, AFL rd 9 preview 2021

Tigers v Giants tips and betting predictions - 15/5

Welcome to our Richmond v GWS betting tips, prediction and odds analysis ahead of their AFL round 9 matchup from Marvel Stadium on Saturday night. 

The Tigers famously whipped GWS by 89 points in the 2019 grand final, but this clash takes on significantly different proportions given the Tigers’ injury woes and GWS’s life post-Jeremy Cameron. 

The Giants would also like the AFL world to believe they are over the grand final humiliation, after beating Richmond by two goals in round 8 last season. 

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However the bookmakers have not forgotten and have installed the Tigers as $1.53 elects, with the Giants outsiders at $2.52 with Australian bookmakers. This price discrepancy is there despite the Tigers’ last-up 63-point loss to Geelong.

This clash pits eighth against ninth with both clubs having a 4-4 record after eight round, giving this clash extra spice with the loser almost certainly falling two games behind the top four.  

The Giants last played Saturday afternoon, when they came from behind in thrilling circumstances to beat Essendon by two points. They did suffer a cruel blow with veteran defender Lachie Keefe tearing his ACL and requiring a knee reconstruction. 

Keefe has been a lock in the Giants line-up this season and would have been a logical match-up for Tom Lynch or Jack Riewoldt. The Giants should be able to call on Jesse Hogan, who missed a week with calf tightness, while Matt Buntine and Tom Hutchesson are listed to have a fitness test. 

Richmond have suffered further injuries with midfield veteran Shane Edwards set to miss up to six weeks with an ankle injury. They have also been rocked by Shai Bolton’s fractured wrist after he and Daniel Rioli were involved in a violent altercation at a nightclub. 

While Bolton will miss up to a month, Rioli is likely to be a forced omission given the tough stance AFL clubs are taking against off-field indiscretions. Back-line general Dylan Grimes may return from his concussion, but will have to complete training this week. 

Continue reading for our free Richmond v GWS betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 9 clash at Marvel Stadium, from 7.25pm.

Start:7.25pm AEST, May 15
Venue:Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Head-to-head odds:Richmond ($1.53) v GWS ($2.52)
Line betting: Richmond -11.5 points ($1.90) v GWS +11.5 ($1.90)
Premiership odds: Richmond $5.50; GWS $41

Richmond v GWS betting tips

Our AFL betting experts have examined the markets and found some Richmond v GWS Giants tips:

Tom Green to get over 25 touches for GWS

It’s usually a Greene that gets listed in our GWS tips, but this time we’re going with young midfielder Tom Green to get over 25 touches. The Tigers’ midfield is decimated and if they are going to pay close attention to anyone it will be Josh Kelly or Lachie Whitfield. We think the $3.60 on offer for the young bull to notch up 25 touches is great value. 

Liam Baker to get over 20 possessions for Tigers

Baker will be given more time through the midfield given how many injuries the Tigers have and he is a nice leg for your same-game multis at $1.62 to gather 20 possessions or more. Baker runs hard and is probably earmarked for a similar role to Bachar Houli, when the premiership star retires. 

GWS +11.5

The Giants will be going to Marvel Stadium believing they can win, after all they are facing a Tigers team missing five of their best midfielders. While the Giants look stronger on paper, you cannot write the Tigers off, which makes us keen on GWS +11.5 in line betting at TopSport, with this paying $2. 

Richmond v GWS prediction 15/5/2021

The Tigers have become the masters of timing a run at the right time and things have just not clicked for them yet this season, despite flashes. They will not panic. The Giants have resurrected their season in the last month and have done this with a horrendous injury list. They certainly have the cattle to push an undermanned Richmond team all the way on the unfamiliar Marvel Stadium, but can we rely on them in Melbourne? Particularly after last week’s hard-fought Essendon game. Our final Richmond v GWS prediction? Tigers by four points.

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