Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina betting tips and predictions
Welcome to our Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina betting tips and winner prediction for their clash in the Australian Open women’s final at Rod Laver Arena on Saturday night.
Sabalenka is the 1.56 favourite with betting sites to defeat Rybakina (2.40), with this a rematch of the 2023 Australian Open final, which the Belarusian won in three sets.
Sabalenka, the world no.1, defeated Elena Svitolina in straight sets in her semi-final, with her return game on point and her ability to win the big moments hallmarks of the victory.
Rybakina, the world no.5, advanced through to the final with a win over Jessica Pegula, despite several scares in the second set, with the gritty American refusing to give up.
The Russian has not dropped a set at the tournament with this including a 7-5, 6-1 thrashing of world no.2 Iga Świątek in the quarter finals.
Sabalenka v Rybakina h2h history
Sabalenka and Rybakina have developed one of the more compelling rivalries on the WTA Tour, meeting 14 times in professional competition, with Sabalenka holding a narrow 8-6 advantage overall.
Sabalenka has won slightly more of their encounters, but Rybakina has pushed her hard, including recent big-stage victories like the 2025 WTA Finals. Their matches have often been close, with Rybakina’s powerful serve and aggressive game giving her the edge on occasion despite trailing in the overall win count.
Sabalenka’s wins include the 2023 Australian Open final, underscoring the high stakes at which these two have clashed over the years.
The pair have clashed nine times on hard courts with Sabalenka leading 5-4.
Sabalenka v Rybakina odds
| Match Odds | |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 1.56 |
| Elena Rybakina | 2.40 |
| To Win 1st Set | |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 1.64 |
| Elena Rybakina | 2.15 |
| Correct Score (Set Betting) | |
|---|---|
| Sabalenka 2–0 | 2.40 |
| Sabalenka 2–1 | 3.80 |
| Rybakina 2–0 | 3.80 |
| Rybakina 2–1 | 5.30 |
| Game Handicap (–2.5) | |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka –2.5 | 1.88 |
| Elena Rybakina +2.5 | 1.87 |
Sabalenka v Rybakina betting tips
Our tennis betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Sabalenka v Rybakina betting tips:
Both players to win a set
Rybakina has the ability to win this game, but her opponent has been red-hot at the 2026 Australian Open. This is why we are strongly considering taking Ryabkina +1.5 in set handicap betting or both players to win a set. If Rybakina serves well, Sabalenka will struggle to break, which should lead to a tightly contested game that goes the distance.
Aryna Sabalenka to win one point in every game in first set
While not all, many Australian betting sites will feature this market, with this bet paying 2.03 and offering some nice value, with Sabalenka’s consistency outstanding. We’ll have a little throw at this one, just for fun.
Rybakina to serve most aces
The way Rybakina served against Pegula should have put her opponent on notice, and we’ll back her in to serve more aces than her opponent here. We also like the option of 11+ aces for the match between them, with this paying around 1.53.
Sabalenka v Rybakina prediction
We are hoping Rybakina can upset her more fancied rival here, largely because we can’t stand Sabalenka’s grunting, which she got in trouble for in her semi-final. But having said that, all evidence points to Sabalenka winning a third Australian Open crown, despite her opponent showing signs of improvement. We’ll back her in to win 6-4 in the third.
