Geelong’s Bailey Smith backed heavily to win 2025 Brownlow Medal

William Demamp
May 11, 2025
25 Views
AFL Brownlow Medal betting update after round 9

Outspoken Geelong star Bailey Smith might be talking the talk, but he’s also walking the walk, with the former Bulldogs midfielder moving into outright second position in Brownlow Medal betting

The Cats hard-running midfielder is now $9 to win the Brownlow Medal, behind Collingwood’s Nick Daicos, who remains steady at around $3.75 with PlayUp Australia

Adelaide Crows captain Jordan Dawson is outright third at $10, while GWS ace Tom Green and Essendon skipper Zach Merrett are both $13. 

Smith has undoubtedly been the recruit of the AFL season, with his on-field performance, being matched by a heavy dose of entertainment off it, after flipping the “double bird” at a Crows fan and being involved in an funny war of words with Marcus Bontempelli, the captain of his former club. 

But it has been Smith’s onfield impact that has been meteoric, and he will almost certain get Brownlow votes for his 35 possession match against GWS on Sunday, despite the Cats losing by four points. Smith Also laid 10 tackles and had 149 AFL Fantasy Points.

Past Brownlow Medal winners Andrew Brayshaw and Lachie Neale ($15) are also heavily backed at betting sites to win the best and fairest award, while Gold Coast’s tough mid Matt Rowell has eased out to $18, after a quiet few weeks. 

Bontempelli has also played himself into Brownlow Medal contention after missing the first month of the season with injury, with the gun utility now at $21 win the award. 

Daicos, who was quiet by his standards in the Magpies guts win against Fremantle, is under an injury cloud and is in some doubt for their clash against Adelaide on Saturday.

Most AFL betting sites feature markets on the Brownlow Medal, AFL Rising Star and other key futures markets. 

PlayerOdds
Nick Daicos3.75
Bailey Smith9.00
Jordan Dawson10.00
Tom Green13.00
Zach Merrett13.00
Andrew Brayshaw15.00
Lachie Neale15.00
Matt Rowell18.00
Connor Rozee21.00
Marcus Bontempelli21.00
Zak Butters21.00
Patrick Cripps26.00
Caleb Serong34.00
Izak Rankine34.00
Jai Newcombe34.00
Tom Liberatore41.00
Will Ashcroft41.00
Chad Warner67.00
Ed Richards67.00
Jason Horne-Francis67.00
Noah Anderson67.00
Christian Petracca81.00
Hugh McCluggage81.00
Jack Macrae81.00
Patrick Dangerfield81.00
Isaac Heeney101.00
Jack Sinclair101.00
Sam Walsh101.00
Touk Miller101.00
Finn Callaghan151.00
George Hewett151.00
Max Gawn151.00
Max Holmes151.00
Steele Sidebottom151.00
Author William Demamp

Born in Ontario, Canada, William is one of the founders of the World Gambling List and an experienced professional punter. Specialising in sports betting, William has a special spot in his heart for NFL, ice hockey and football.

Leave a comment