Coleman Medal betting preview and free tips
The Coleman Medal is the leading goal-kicker award for the AFL, with it attracting huge attention from punters, and proving to be a lucrative betting market, with the field generally wide open.
The last two Coleman Medallists have been Geelong superstar Jeremy Cameron and GWS’s talisman Jesse Hogan, with both offering some nice value prior to their winning seasons.
Cameron booted 83 goals in the home and away season last year in his best season at the Cats, with the veteran paying $8 to claim the award in 2026.
In 2024, Giants forward Hogan booted 69 goals after starting the season as long as $30 to win the Coleman Medal – odds the WGL team gleefully snapped up at the time.
Flakey Sydney recruit Charlie Curnow is the $5 favourite with Australian betting sites to win the Coleman Medal in his first year at the Swans, after winning it as a Blue in 2022 and 2023.
Bulldogs key forward Sam Darcy is also paying $5 to claim the crown, while Giant Ben King ($8), Crow Riley Thilthorpe ($13) and Roo Nick Larkey ($26) are also fancied.
Coleman Medal betting odds 2026
- Charlie Curnow 5.00
- Sam Darcy 5.00
- Ben King 7.00
- Jeremy Cameron 8.00
- Jesse Hogan 10.00
- Riley Thilthorpe 13.00
- Nick Larkey 26.00
- Harry McKay 34.00
- Josh Treacy 34.00
- Mitch Georgiades 41.00
- Oscar Allen 41.00
- Aaron Naughton 51.00
- Jack Gunston 51.00
- Jake Waterman 51.00
- Logan Morris 67.00
- Mitch Lewis 67.00
- Darcy Fogarty 81.00
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan 81.00
- Jye Amiss 81.00
- Nate Caddy 81.00
- Patrick Voss 81.00
- Shannon Neale 81.00
- Brody Mihocek 101.00
- Jamie Elliott 101.00
- Logan McDonald 101.00
- Max King 101.00
- Tom Lynch 101.00
- Charlie Cameron 151.00
- Daniel McStay 151.00
- Jacob van Rooyen 151.00
- Mabior Chol 151.00
- Peter Wright 151.00
- Taylor Walker 151.00
- Toby Greene 151.00
- Bayley Fritsch 251.00
- Calsher Dear 251.00
- Cameron Zurhaar 251.00
- Christian Petracca 251.00
- Cooper Sharman 251.00
- Isaac Heeney 251.00
- Izak Rankine 251.00
- Jack Higgins 251.00
- Jack Lukosius 251.00
- Jobe Shanahan 251.00
- Joel Amartey 251.00
- Kyle Langford 251.00
- Kysaiah Pickett 251.00
- Nick Watson 251.00
- Paul Curtis 251.00
- Rowan Marshall 251.00
- Will Hayward 251.00
- Zac Bailey 251.00
- Ben Long 501.00
- Cam Rayner 501.00
- Cooper Trembath 501.00
- Jack Ginnivan 501.00
- Jake Melksham 501.00
- Jamie Cripps 501.00
- Kai Lohmann 501.00
- Liam Ryan 501.00
- Patrick Dangerfield 501.00
- Tim Membrey 501.00
- Tom Papley 501.00
Coleman Medal betting tips 2026
Our AFL betting expert has been scouring the form guide ahead of the season and finally made a call on our Coleman Medal tips for 2026:
Will this year be Sam Darcy’s breakout?
The son of Luke Darcy is simply outstanding for a big man. He’s like Mason Cox but can play football. It would take a brave analyst to bet against him winning a Coleman in his career and it could very well be this year. We’re willing to leave him out, simply because we think he is too short for a player who has shown brilliance, but varies dramatically in performance. You could do worse than take the $5 price at Neds Australia.
Best Coleman Medal roughie for 2026
We are going to go with Nick Larkey as our roughie. We’ve got a feeling the Roos are going to make a charge at the finals this year and their no.1 forward should kick plenty of majors. He’s also paying a massive $26 to win the Coleman – odds we’re not going to sneeze at. Carlton forward Harry McKay is another at odds that don’t match his output. He’s also likely to play closer to goal on a more permanent basis this year, with Curnow having fled down the Hume to the Swans. We’re going to load up on Larkey and have something small on McKay. Logan Morris, who kicked 53 goals in just his second AFL season, is another offering major value at 67.00.
To Curnow or not to Curnow
Charlie Curnow looked like he’d rather be anywhere else last season, and we can’t blame him with some of awful delivery he received at the Blues. He’s undoubtedly fired up to make an impact at the Swans and if his body holds up, will be in contention for the Coleman. We’re not going down the Curnow path, simply because he’s too short, has burnt us before, and we like value in this market. Ultimately would we be surprised if he won the Coleman? No.
