Rosehill racing preview, tips and picks for Saturday, March 28, 2020
Rosehill Gardens in Sydney, Australia, hosts unquestionably the best thoroughbred meeting of the weekend, with two group 1 races the jewels in the crown.
Australian racing continues while many other jurisdictions in the world have been brought to a halt by the COVID-19 pandemic,
But the meeting at Rosehill, part of the Sydney Autumn Carnival, came ever so close to being called off, after a drama involving Melbourne jockey Mark Zahra earlier this week.
When it was discovered Zahra sat near an infected passenger on a commercial flight recently, racing in Sydney and Melbourne were immediately called to a halt on Wednesday and Thursday as Zahra has ridden in those cities since.
Australian authorities waited anxiously on a test on Zahra, but when it came back negative racing in Victoria and NSW was able to resume on Friday and, fingers crossed, will continue into the star-studded meeting at Rosehill.
The WGL racing team has examined the Rosehill card and come up with some potential value bets, in the group 1 Tancred Stakes (weight-for-age, 2400 metres (12 furlongs) and Vinery Stud Stakes (3YO fillies, set weights, 2000m) as well as some of the support races. Read on for our free Rosehill tips for Saturday, March 27, 2020.
Rosehill Race 3: TAB Tulloch Stakes (2000m) form and tips
This is a group 2 race for staying three-year-olds, with several of these headed by the hot favourite 1. Quick Thinker on their way to the ATC Australian Derby in a few weeks. Quick Thinker has the services of Kiwi superstar James McDonald, who we rate close to the top of our list of best jockeys in the world. The colt is trained in new Zealand by Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman, two of the foremost trainers of stayers in Australasia. But we are looking elsewhere for the winner as we have a lot of time for the promising 5. Zebrowski, which has had only four starts and returned after a spell in magnificent form. The gelding shapes as though he will get better as the distances increase and he has the services of champion rider Hugh Bowman.
Suggested bet: We like Zebrowski at each-way odds around $4.50 and $1.90 for the place. He is on an upward spiral and really attacked the line last start.
Rosehill Race 5: Star Kingdom Stakes (1200m)
Kementari is returning after having fertility problems at stud and the Godolphin runner is the class horse in the field. But we may have to see how he has returned from the extended break before tipping him with confidence. The favourite for the race is the Gerald Ryan-trained 9.Villami, which is drawn wide but is a progressive type. We think the blueblood 10. Diplomatico is ready to show something. He spun the wheels last start but he possesses a sharp turn of foot.
Best bet: You should be able so secure odds of better than $16 about Diplomatico, which is bred to be a star and has been given time to develop by the Hawkes training team.
Rosehill Race 6: Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m)
9. Verry Elleegant is all the rage for this race formerly know as The BMW after her fighting second last Saturday behind impressive import Addeybb. The mare is at the top of her game but we are a little reluctant to take the even money now available. 6. Mugatoo is another import which was beaten as a short-priced favourite last weekend but has a fair deal of talent. 1. Avilius was a little disappointing last weekend when third behind Addeybb but the track was playing a little funny and it won this race last year.
Tancred tip: We think Avilius will run a place at worst and at each-way odds we are happy to bet on the Godolphin runner.
Rosehill Race 7: Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m)
1.Funstar and 2.Probabeel have dominated the ranks of three-year-old fillies in the past month, with the score standing at one win apiece so far this southern hemisphere autumn. There is very little between these two classy types but we can’t help but think the rise to 2000m will suit the NZ-trained Probabeel a little better. In four previous meetings between the two stars, Funstar has finished first three times and second once, with Probabeel second three times and victorious once.
Our Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes tip: We will try Probabeel at the odds. If there is to be an upset in the race 9. Shout The Bar is an untapped filly from the red-hot yard of Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott. She should be around the 25-1 mark.
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