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Welcome to our GWS v Sydney betting tips and prediction for their AFL round 20 clash at ENGIE Stadium on Friday night.
The Giants are priced at around the $1.56 quote by Neds Australia, with the Swans outsiders at $2.43, but with their improved form in the last month, they are not without fans. The line has been set at 10.5 points.
The Giants are fresh off a 48-point victory over an Essendon team that was severely undermanned, which allowed them to rest the likes of Jesse Hogan and Josh Kelly.
The Swans have now won three success matched after their comfortable victory over North Melbourne, with Isaac Heeney kicking five goals largely through the midfield. The return of silkily skilled Errol Gulden also cannot be underestimated in their form revival under new coach Dean Cox.
The Swans are two wins and percentage outside the top eight, so their hopes of partaking in September are fading, and a win here would almost certainly kill of their chances. They have included star forward Tom Papley and tall swingman Aaron Francis.
On top of the return of Jesse Hogan, the Giants have also recalled their best defender Sam Taylor, after he missed a sting with a fractured toe.
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value GWS vs Sydney betting tips:
The Swans star, who is paying $151 to win the Brownlow Medal, is in outstanding touch and we have seen in the past, his form usually runs in patches. We’ll be strongly considering him for 25+ possessions and two goals.
The Giants have so many avenues to goal, but one that is often paying overs and can slip under the radar is Callum Brown. The tough conditions are likely to suit the smalls, and Brown is tough, athletic and usually a dead eye. He is paying $2.85 to kick 2+ goals.
The usual suspects for the Giants will be well in contention for most disposals, with Tom Green, Lachie Whitfield, Lachie Ash and Finn Callaghan the four standouts in the last month. Heeney for the Swans is the only player pushing for 30+ on a regular basis this season. If you’re looking for a roughie, or player to get some value into multi leg, consider taking Callum Mills for 25+, with the experienced defender taking plenty of kick-ins.
The Giants deserve to be favourites for this contest, but we are leaning towards taking the Swans +10.5, just for the simple fact they have so much to play for. We also think the match-up is much closer to 50-50 than the current odds. The Giants bevy of forward options is where they shade the Swans, and it could ultimately be where they win the game. This is last chance saloon stuff for the Bloods. Our final GWS v Sydney prediction? Swans by 1 point.