Western Australia v Victoria betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Western Australia v Victoria betting tips and winner prediction for the AFL State of Origin clash at Optus Stadium, Perth, on Saturday night.
Western Australia has been priced at 2.99 to upset Victoria (1.40) with the line being set at 18.5 points, which is likely to attract some suitors given the unpredictable nature of the first AFL origin match since 1999.
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The WA team will be coached by Sydney Swans coach and proud West Australian Dean Cox, while the Victorian team will be guided by Geelong’s premiership winning mentor Brad Scott.
Victoria will be captained by Western Bulldogs superstar Marcus Bontempelli, who will be joined the line-up by temmate Sam Darcy, and superstar midfielders Nick Daicos and Zac Butters.
Carlton captain Patrick Cripps will lead a Western Australian outfit set to feature Melbourne live wire Kysaiah Pickett, Chad Warner, Jesse Hogan and Darcy Cameron, who will lock horns with Victorian counterpart Tristan Xerri.
WA v VIC odds
All Australian betting sites will have odds available on the Western Australia v Victoria State of Origin clash.
| Head to Head | |
|---|---|
| Western Australia | 2.99 |
| Victoria | 1.40 |
| Line Betting | |
|---|---|
| Western Australia -18.5 | 1.90 |
| Victoria +18.5 | 1.90 |
| Total Points (Over/Under 167.5) | |
|---|---|
| Over 194.5 | 1.88 |
| Under 194.5 | 1.88 |
| First Goal Scorer | |
|---|---|
| Aaron Naughton | 13.00 |
| Sam Darcy | 9.25 |
| Jesse Hogan | 11.00 |
| Ben King | 11.00 |
| Tom Lynch | 13.00 |
| Graham Moss Medal | |
|---|---|
| Patrick Cripps | 4.50 |
| Chad Warner | 5.50 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | 9.00 |
| Luke Jackson | 10.00 |
| Toby Greene | 13.00 |
| EJ Whitten Medal | |
|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | 4.50 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | 5.00 |
| Noah Anderson | 8.00 |
| Zak Butters | 10.00 |
| Sam Darcy | 13.00 |
Western Australia v Victoria betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Western Australia v Victoria betting tips:
Take the overs
We just can’t see an overly defensive clash and while we hate the term “bruise free” we wouldn’t be surprised if it is applicable in this one. Expect lots of goals, flashy play and the over mark of 194.5 to be eclipsed. Yes this over/under betting market is high, but we’re confident.
Toby Greene to kick 2+ goals
The GWS agitator would have loved State of Origin back in the 80s. He’s fearless and has the ability to win matches off his own boot. All this game needs to ignite is for Toby to get under the grill of a WA opponent. He will see this as a legacy moment, given he hasn’t won a flag, and we’ll back him to kick 2+ goals.
Victoria to win 1-39 points
The players will put on a show in this clash and we expect it to be close all the way. We’re confident Victoria will win by a margin of 1-39 points, which is paying 2.35 with AFL bookies.
Western Australia v Victoria prediction
Western Australia has more foot soldiers, rather than stars, which in these clashes can help the best players shine. Having said this, there is a gulf in class between WA and Vic and ultimately, over four quarters, we think the visitors will win. A word of warning, avoid the possessions betting markets, with some key midfielders likely to play managed minutes. Our final Western Australia v Victoria State of Origin prediction? Victoria by eight points.
