Melbourne v Geelong betting tips, prediction and odds; AFL PF preview 2021

Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats tips and prediction; AFL preliminary final preview 2021

Welcome to our Melbourne v Geelong tips, prediction and odds analysis for their AFL preliminary final at Optus Stadium, Perth, on Friday night. 

Melbourne charged into a preliminary final with an easy victory over Brisbane in their qualifying final, with the fact they have had a week off adding an extra layer of intrigue to this clash, which will be played in Western Australia because of the coronavirus pandemic. 

Geelong has had to do it the hard way, losing their opening final to Port Adelaide, before responding with a gutsy win over GWS in Perth, which was set up by a magnificent display from spearhead Tom Hawkins. 


The Demons have been installed a $1.50 favourite to win, with the Cats outsiders at $2.65 with Australian online bookmakers. The $1.90 line has been set at 12.5 with TopSport Australia

Melbourne won both games between the two clubs this season, a 25-point win in round 4, before beating the Cats by four points three weeks ago in round 23. 

Geelong suffered a massive blow against the Giants with midfielder Brandon Parfitt requiring surgery after a high-grade hamstring injury, while the chances of star defender Tom Stewart playing this season appear slim, despite returning to training in the last week. 

Melbourne could include speedster Jayden Hunt who has missed a month with an ankle injury, but has trained strongly, while small forward Alex Neal-Bullen (corked leg) should play after being in some doubt after a knock in their scratch match on Friday. 

Continue reading for our free Melbourne v Geelong betting tips, prediction and odds analysis for their AFL preliminary final at Optus Stadium on Friday, September 10.

Start:7:50pm AEST, September 10
Venue:Optus Stadium, Perth
Head-to-head odds:Melbourne ($1.50) v Geelong ($2.65)
Line betting:Melbourne -12.5 ($1.90) v Geelong +12.5 ($1.90)
Premiership odds: Melbourne $3.70; Geelong $8.50

Melbourne v Geelong betting tips

Our AFL betting expert ha examined the odds and found some value Melbourne v Geelong tips: 

Clayton Oliver to have 35+ touches

Melbourne’s star midfielder Clayton Oliver has become a mainstay in our same game multis when Melbourne is playing and it’s easy to imagine him having another big outing, against a Cats team that does not traditionally tag.  Oliver should be included to notch up 30+ touches, although 35+, which he did last time against the Cats, is paying a juicy $2.63. 

Either team to win by 15 or less

I am expecting a low-scoring, hard-fought contest, between two clubs that set up really well behind the ball and boast some of the best intercepting players in the game. I just can’t see it being a blowout. This means I like the margin betting market tribet, where you can take either team to win by under 15.5 points at $2.60. 

Tom Hawkins to kick 3+ goals

Hawkins booted four goals against the Demons in round 23 and was magnificent last week against the Giants, probably being the difference. Sometimes when betting on sports, you find a man and you keep going until you lose and Hawkins is that guy for us at the moment. He is paying $2.88 to kick 3+ goals at AU betting sites, which looks a safe bet even if his team loses and he cops gun Dee Steven May as his opponent. 

Melbourne v Geelong prediction 10/9/2021

We cannot wait for this preliminary final between two top four teams that have been in the premiership market all season. The Demons have undoubtedly reached the finals in better condition than the Cats, who are missing their best defender Tom Stewart and pacy midfielder Brandon Parfitt, however, they looked a different team with Zach Tuohy back in the line-up. This really will be a cracking contest, with the Cats seemingly having more scoring power, while their opponent looks tougher around the ball. Our final Melbourne v Geelong prediction? Demons by five points. 


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