Australian racing preview & best tips for May 2, 2020
Welcome to our preview, form and betting tips for Australian metro racing on Saturday, May 2, with Morphettville in the South Australia capital of Adelaide taking centre stage.
While the best racing in Australia is usually in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane, for a few Saturdays each year Morphettville, a beautiful track where racing has happened since 1876, is the place to be in Australian racing. Though of course under the strict biosecurity measures in place to keep Australian racing running during the COVID-19 pandemic, the general public is not allowed on course.
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This Saturday at Morphettville there are two Group 1 races: the Australasian Oaks for three-year-old fillies and the Robert Sangster Stakes, a sprint race for fillies and mares.
Then in the following two weeks we are back there for more Group 1 horse racing with the South Australian Derby and the Goodwood Handicap, South Australia’s top race.
We will examine the two Group 1s on Saturday as well as a couple of enticing Group 2 races from the support card.
Read on for our free Australian racing tips for Saturday, May 2, 2020.
Morphettville, race 5: Queen of the South Stakes, 2.06pm local time (1600m)
This a race for the girls – fillies and mares of all ages – and is run at set weights with penalties. It has attracted a strong field, with 1. Seabrook the early favourite in a wide-open race. Seabrook is a quality mare and was a Group 2 winner as a two-year-old but she must carry 4.5kg to 6.5kg more than all of her rivals. 6.Vanuatu is at double-figure odds and runs her best races second-up. She will get back in the field but should be storming home if a decent tempo is set up front. The well-fancied 4.Clarice Cliffs has been scratched.
Suggested bet: 2.Fidelia has not won for a while but should appreciate this class and can be backed confidently at odds around $6. We also give Vanuatu a strong each-way chance at around $14 with Unibet.
Morphettville, race 6: Euclase Stakes, 2.46pm local time (1200m)
1.Garner was competitive in several recent Melbourne runs and has built a consistent record with four wins and five placings in his nine starts. He blitzed his rivals in the listed Redelva Stakes at this track over the 1100m a fortnight ago and is well suited at set weights here. He is clearly the one to beat and the bookmakers have him as a pronounced favourite. The beautifully bred filly 8.Xilong started favourite in the Redelva and was slightly disappointing but will have no excused here from barrier one with South African jockey Barend Vorster to ride for astute trainer Tony McEvoy. 13. Broadwayandfourth is a lightly raced filly which has a devastating turn of foot on her day.
Suggested bet: Xilong to turn the form around on her previous meeting with Garner. Unibet is offering around $5 for Xilong.
Morphettville, race 7: Australasian Oaks tip, 3.26pm local time (2000m)
The first group 1 of the meeting and this is a race which usually attracts the second tier of fillies, with the real top-liners targeting the ATC Australian Oaks during The Championships at Randwick. A couple of runners from that 2400m race have been sent to South Australia for this including 8.Toffee Tongue, which was a good second at Randwick. In fact, Toffee Tongue, a full-sister to Hong Kong racing champion Werther, has run second at her past four starts and is still a maiden. If she has come through the ATC Oaks run in goo shape, we think the Chris Waller-trained filly is clearly the one to beat. She has a gun rider in Damien Thornton. The other filly backing up from the ATC Oaks is the Waller-trained 2.Nudge, which was a closing fourth. Favourite for this race is 14.Affair To Remember, to be ridden by John Allen, while 5.Vegas Jewel is better suited out this trip third-up from a spell.
Our Australasian Oaks tip: We are very confident about the class edge for Toffee Tongue here, while Nudge should also be considered at around $10.
Morphettville, race 8: Robert Sangster Stakes tips, 4.06pm local time (1200m)
This is an exciting Group 1 sprint for fillies and mares, with an honour roll that includes the mighty mare Black Caviar in 2012. There are none as good her in the field this year but that’s not to say it’s not a high-class field headed by multiple Group 1 winner 1.Sunlight. The race has also gained great interest with the inclusion of the iron filly 16.Away Game. The daughter of Snitzel is still a two-year-old and will carry the featherweight of 47kg, with lightweight jockey Dean Holland to ride. Away Game has already won a Magic Millions Classic and run second in a Golden Slipper, the richest race for two-year-olds in the world. Those two top the betting well clear of the rest but we don’t see it as a two-horse race with so many talented mares and fillies there. 15. Lyre from the Godolphin stable certainly has the ability to figure in the finish and should be at her top for this, while 8.Humma Humma possesses a booming finish when races are run to suit.
Suggested bet: We think 1.Sunlight is the play now that she is out to a backable price of around $3.20 with Unibet. And we will have a small each-way bet on Humma Humma as she is a favourite of ours and we have had success betting on her in the past.
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