FIBA Basketball World Cup predictions & free picks for September 10 games
Welcome to our betting predictions and free tips for the FIBA World Cup quarter-finals being played on Tuesday, September 10, 2019.
The cream has risen to the top and the best eight teams are left to fight it out for the world title of basketball. The winner of the two matches on Tuesday will advance to Friday’s semi-finals against opponents to be decided in Wednesday’s two quarter-finals.
We will preview the two matches per day for the next six days up to and including the third-place play-off and FIBA World Cup final on Sunday, September 15.
The World Gambling List will have you covered with tips and predictions for these heavyweight clashes.
Here are our free picks, odds and predictions for day 11 of the FIBA World Cup, which features two quarter-finals.
FIBA World Cup betting predictions for quarter-finals
Argentina v Serbia
Tip-off: 19:00 local time (GMT+8)
Head to head odds: Argentina $5.80, Serbia $1.14
Handicap odds: Argentina (+12.5 points) $1.91, Serbia (-12.5 points) $1.91
Venue: Dongguan Basketball Center
Argentina (played 5: 5-0)
September 8: d Poland 91-65
September 6: d Venezuela 87-67
September 4: d Russia 69-61
September 2: d Nigeria 94-81
August 31: d Korea 95-69
Serbia (played 5: 4-1)
September 8: lost to Spain 81-69
September 6: d Puerto Rico 90-47
September 4: d Italy 92-77
September 2: d Philippines 126-67
August 31: d Angola 105-59
Argentina v Serbia predictions: Serbia may well come to rue their implosion in the match against Spain on Sunday that has left them likely to meet the powerful USA team a game earlier than they would have liked.
The Olympic and World Cup silver medalists had superstar Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets ejected from the game in the third quarter. Their loss against Spain cost them top spot in the group and a seemingly easier quarter-final passage against Poland, because there is a little doubt Argentina are a tough and experienced opponent.
The good news for the Serbs is that even after Jokic was dismissed for yelling at the referee, Bogdan Bogdanovic continued his sparkling form. The Sacramento Kings’ ace is one of the leading scorers in the tournament and shooting at a phenomenal success rate.
Jokic should have a tremendous battle with evergreen Argentine Luis Scola, who at age 39 is dominating in the paint. Their clash alone should make this a worthwhile watch.
Argentina of course have made it to this point unbeaten and really unchallenged. They had a pretty soft run through the draw but they are not expected to contend for the title.
Serbia and Argentina have been among the most free-scoring teams in this tournament to this point but we expect the defensive intensity to pick up here with so much at stake.
While we think Serbia will get over the line we think it will be closer than expected. The WGL tip for this quarter-final is Argentina +12.5 points at $1.91, and if you are feeling adventurous parlay that into the match total to be under the line which has been set at 163.5 points. The double should fetch you around $3.60 with leading international bookies.
Best bet: Argentina +12.5 points at $1.91.
Spain v Poland
Tip-off: 21:00 local time (GMT+8)
Head to head odds: Spain $1.07, Poland $9
Handicap odds: Spain (-16.5 points) $1.91, Poland (+16.5 points) $1.91
Venue: Shanghai Oriental Sports Center
Spain (played 5: 5-0)
September 8: d Serbia 81-69
September 6: d Italy 67-60
September 4: d Iran 73-65
September 2: Puerto Rico 73-63
August 31: Tunisia 101-62
Poland (played 5: 4-1)
September 8: lost to Argentina 91-95
September 6: d Russia 79-74
September 4: d Ivory Coast 80-63
September 2: d China 79-76
August 31: d Venezuela 80-69
Spain v Poland predictions: Spain have really come into calculations to win the FIBA World Cup largely on the back of their big upset win over the powerhouse Serbian side.
The Spaniards had been flying under the radar a little to that point, with workmanlike wins over largely middle-tier sides, without really sending any warning signals to rivals.
That has all changed now following the Serbia game. Spain reminded all that they have an array of talent that will be difficult for even the big guns of world basketball to subdue.
The likes of Phoenix Suns guard Ricky Rubio, who is at the peak of his powers at 28. Rubio steers the ship and can rely on the likes of veteran centre Marc Gasol and the fast-improving Juancho Hernangomez to get things done on the inside.
Poland have been something of a surprise packet in this event but their golden run might be about to come to an end. Mateusz Ponitka and AJ Slaughter have been a great double act for Poland but the greater depth of Spain might be telling.
We are tipping Spain to win this one, but are not keen to bet on them to cover the line which stands at a daunting 16.5 points. We like Spain to win into the overs in match total betting, with the mark set at 148.5 points.
Best bet: Double of Spain ($1.07) to win into over 148.8 match total ($1.91) at around $2.05.
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