Alex de Minaur v Alexander Bublik betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Alex de Minaur v Alexander Bublik betting tips and winner prediction for their round of 16 clash at the Australian Open on Sunday night.
De Minaur is a favourite to defeat Bublik in his home country, with the Aussie priced at at 1.59 with tennis betting sites after his hot form saw him defeat American Francis Tiafoe in impressive fashion on Friday night.
Bublik, the 10th seed, is yet to drop a set at the Australian Open with his victory over Tomas Martin Etcheverry on Friday coming in two tie breaks, with a break in the third set. He is paying 2.37 to defeat de Minaur after opening at around 2.15.
De Minaur and Bublik have met five times on the ATP Tour, with de Minaur leading their rivalry 3-2 overall. De Minaur has won more of their sets, holding an 8-5 edge in the 13 sets they’ve played against each other.
Their most recent encounter came at the 2025 Paris Masters quarterfinals, where Bublik won 6-7(5), 6-4, 7-5 in a tight three-set battle on indoor hard courts. Earlier in 2025 at the French Open, Bublik also upset de Minaur in five sets, highlighting his ability to challenge the Australian on clay.
De Minaur’s wins over Bublik include a straight-sets win in Indian Wells in March 2024.
De Minaur v Bublik odds
| Match Odds | |
|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 1.59 |
| Alexander Bublik | 2.37 |
| First Set Winner | |
|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 1.68 |
| Alexander Bublik | 2.10 |
| Correct Score (Set Betting) | |
|---|---|
| De Minaur 3–0 | 3.50 |
| De Minaur 3–1 | 4.50 |
| De Minaur 3–2 | 5.80 |
| Bublik 3–0 | 5.80 |
| Bublik 3–1 | 6.00 |
| Bublik 3–2 | 6.50 |
| Game Handicap (–2.5) | |
|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur –2.5 | 1.84 |
| Alexander Bublik +2.5 | 1.92 |
De Minaur v Bublik betting tips
Our tennis betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value De Minaur v Bublik betting tips.
Over 38.5 total games
We can see this clash becoming a battle for the ages and it’s hard seeing either winning in straight sets, and the over 38.5 games looks to be a relatively safe bet, with this just requiring four competitive sets.
Bublik to win first set
The Kazakhstanian has a big game and will know he needs to nullify the often over-the-top crowd at Rod Laver arena if he is to defeat the Aussie. We can see him winning the first set at 2.10 (de Minaur is paying 1.68).
De Minaur v Bublik prediction
We have long wondered if Alex de Minaur has the improvement in him to challenge Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz, and from what we have seen so far at the Australian Open, he has taken steps towards this. He’s hitting the ball harder, seemingly moving better and has the ability to turn the tables on Bublik in Melbourne. Our final de Minaur v Bublik prediction? De Minaur to win in four sets.
