Fremantle v St Kilda betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Fremantle v St Kilda betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 11 clash at Optus Stadium on Friday night.
The Dockers are 1.22 favourites to defeat the injury-hit Saints (4.35), who will be missing a handful of their best team including Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, Mitch Owens and Jack Higgins.
The rampant Dockers are equal first on the ladder, behind Sydney on percentage, and two games clear of third-placed Geelong.
The Dockers have recalled Corey Wagner after his abductor injury, but have lost Caleb Serong to a calf injury, with their star ballwinner joining Hayden Young on the sidelines.
St Kilda, already missing Max King with ongoing issues, will be without Wanganeen-Milera, Higgins and Mitch Owens, while recruit Liam Ryan will miss at least another fortnight with his calf injury.
The Saints ultimately have swung just the one change with Higgins replaced by Mason Wood after a strong showing at VFL level.
Ross Lyon’s outfit defeated Richmond on Sunday with several of their young stars performing well, including Hugo Garcia and Max Hall, while veterans Jack Macrae and Jack Sinclair also won a mountain of ball.
Fremantle v St Kilda betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Fremantle v St Kilda tips:
Jye Amiss 3+ goals
The Saints struggled to contain Richmond’s tall forwards last week, and the Dockers will be a step up from the struggling Tigers. Amiss has been a little hot and cold in 2026, but we think is a perfect game for him to kick a bag. He’s also offering more value than Josh Treacy, at 2.20 to kick 3+. Patrick Voss, who kicked five goals last week, is also nice value at 3.15.
Fremantle -27.5
The Dockers have their opponent covered for star power here, especially with the key outs for the Saints. While the Dockers are prone to defensive battles, we think they might run away with this one. Take them to cover the line at Neds Australia.
Under 172.5 total points
We can see this one being a defensive slog with the Dockers easing away to a six goal win in the second half. We just can’t see the Saints scoring enough, without Owen, Higgins and Wanganeen-Milera for the total match points to reach 172.5. Take the unders with confidence at 1.90 with Aussie betting sites.
Fremantle v St Kilda prediction
Fremantle has too many trump cards to drop this one on their home deck. The fact the Saints are missing a handful of their best will also leave them exposed against a premiership fancy. Fremantle has not blown teams away this year, but expect them to get on top here, and ease away in the second half. Our final Fremantle v St Kilda prediction? Dockers by 29 points.
