Sydney v Adelaide betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Sydney v Adelaide betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 19 clash at the SCG on Friday night.
The Swans are 1.53 favourites to defeat the Crows (2.51) with this clash having huge implications for both teams top four chances.
The second-placed Swans form has faltered in recent weeks, with just two wins separating them from fifth-placed Adelaide, who know a win can supercharge their finals run.
The Swans-Crows line has been set at 11.5 points, while the total match points mark sits at 178.5 points.
Sydney will be boosted by the inclusion of Logan McDonald, after injury, while Braedon Campbell is also set for a call-up after a strong VFL performance.
The Crows will lose the experienced Rory Laird (ankle) but will regain mid-season draft recruit Hugo Hall-Kahan. Surprisingly Crows coach Matthew Nicks says talented pair Callum Ah Chee and Luke Pedlar will remain in the SANL after returning from hamstring injuries.
The Crows will take solace from their 90-point demolition of the Swans at this venue last year, but this is tempered by Sydney’s rapid improvement in Dean Cox’s second year in the hot seat.
Sydney v Adelaide betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Sydney v Adelaide betting tips:
Adelaide +11.5 points
The Crows are playing better than the Swans at the moment, but it’s hard tipping them to win outright, given the Sydney club’s homeground advantage. The Crows forward line has more prongs and their smalls – lead by Izak Rankine and Josh Rachele, look to be more dynamic. We like the Crows +11.5, which gives us some insurance and still pays 1.90.
Darcy Fogarty 3+ goals
Fogarty is blossoming into the player the Crows hoped he would be, and looms as a key in this clash, given the Swans backline can be exploited by taller setups. With Riley Thilthorpe, Taylor Walker and Fogarty the Crows fit the bill. Fogarty is paying 3.15 to kick 3+.
Izak Rankine 25+ possessions
The Crows gun has reached 25+ two weeks in a row and again looms as key in this encounter. He’s still paying 2.15 with Australian betting sites, which is good enough for us. Swans aces Isaac Heeney and Errol Gulden are both strong chances of reaching 25+.
Sydney v Adelaide prediction
We worry for the Swans, that they might be falling into the old Carlton trap, of Charlie Curnow or bust, especially with Joel Amartey sidelined. We also wonder how their frantic style will stack up in September, against a team that is likely to bring finals-like heat. Unless Swans guns Heeney and Gulden play blinders, an upset could be on the cards here with the Crows stronger at the bookends. Our final Sydney v Adelaide prediction? Swans by two points.
