Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Brisbane v Gold Coast betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 23 clash at the Gabba on Saturday afternoon.
The Lions (1.18) are expected to defeat the Suns (4.95) with Chris Fagan’s outfit having the wood over their cross town rival in recent meetings.
Australian betting sites have set the line at 32.5 points, while the over/under total points mark is currently sitting at 188.5 points.
The Lions are fresh off a demolition job on Hawthorn with a challenging game against Collingwood at the MCG to round out the home and away season.
The fourth-placed two-time reigning champions are shading Adelaide and Melbourne by percentage, with a slip-up potentially costing them a top four position.
Brisbane is unlikely to make major changes to their team, with Hugh McCluggage still several weeks away from returning, but Keidean Coleman could return after his concussion.
The Suns season has dramatically slipped away but they bounced back to some semblance of form in their two-point win over GWS.
They are sweating on the fitness of Sam Collins who has a rib issue, while they will strongly consider a bevy of youngsters, including Jai Murray and Dylan Patterson, who were rested against the Giants.
Brisbane v Gold Coast betting tips
The Lions are in the box seat to win this clash, but there are still some Brisbane v Gold Coast tips worth considering.
Logan Morris 3+ goals
Oscar Allen has not set the world on fire at the Lions with injuries curtailing his output, but he is providing a foil for Morris, who is arguably the best young key forward in the competition. Expect Morris to play a big role against the Suns and a big bag of goals would not surprise. He is paying 1.98 to kick 3+.
Matt Rowell 30+ possessions
Where has Rowell been all season? His 40 possession game against the Giants was brilliant, albeit against a weakened midfield. Despite this, the things that made Rowell win last year’s Brownlow were back, including his ability to burst from stoppages. Rowell faces a team with a stacked midfield and looms as a key to the Suns being competitive. He’s also still a decent price at 2.20 to reach 30+.
Christian Petracca 2+ goals
The former Demons star has been moved out of the starting midfield rotation in recent weeks, allowing Matt Rowell to do what he does best. If he’s not winning heaps of ball he needs to kick goals, with defensive pressure not a feature of his game. Petracca is also a juicy 4.30 with NextBet (NextBet review) to kick two majors.
Brisbane v Gold Coast prediction
The Lions are marching towards another deep September run, while the Suns threw their season of great promise away. The Suns desperately need to show something over the closing rounds or the blowtorch will be on Damien Hardwick and his talented team at the start of next season. Expect the Suns to push the Lions all the way, but ultimately the more experienced team to win out. Our final Brisbane v Gold Coast prediction? Lions by 19 points, take them with a 1-39 point margin with confidence.
