Melbourne v Fremantle betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Melbourne v Fremantle betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 22 clash at the MCG on Saturday.
The Demons (2.71) are outsiders against the rampant Dockers (1.47) with the West Australian club set for a final dress rehearsal at the MCG prior to their finals assault.
NextBet (NextBet review) has set the 1.90 line at 13.5 points, while the over/under total match points mark is at 175.5 points.
The sixth-placed Demons defeated the Gold Coast at the Gold Coast on Sunday, and will take confidence from having beaten the Dockers at this ground last season.
The Demons are likely to recall Daniel Turner with Blake Howes (arm) the defender likely to make way, while there is some doubt about Latrelle Pickett and Kade Chandler, who will undergo fitness tests.
Fremantle will be gunning for a fifth successive victory following their easy 37-point win over the Western Bulldogs on Friday.
The Dockers could recall Brennan Cox after he was rested against the Dogs, but the selection squeeze is certainly on, with few injuries and form concerns for Justin Longmuir’s team. They have hinted that they will potentially rest their captain Alex Pearce, which would open up a spot for Cox.
Melbourne v Fremantle betting tips
WGL’s AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Melbourne v Fremantle betting tips:
Fremantle -13.5 points
We expect the Dockers to hit this clash with intensity given it is potentially their last match the MCG until the grand final. The Demons though have proven themselves at the ‘G and will not be an easy beat. Despite this, the Dockers are flying and have few injuries. We expect them to cover the line with a minimum of fuss at 1.90.
Treacy, Voss or Amiss?
Geez we just can’t hit with the Dockers key forwards. It’s a raffle for goals on a weekly basis, especially when you throw Voss into the mix. The Demons defensively can be leaky, and may struggle to stop the powerful Treacy, but knowing our luck it will be Amiss or Voss that fires. Flip a coin and pick your Docker for most goals. Amiss is due after we backed him last week (for zero goals despite being one of the hottest forwards in the league). I think I will just run with Michael Frederick for two goals at 3.20 and ignore the taller options.
Kysaiah Pickett 25+ possessions
A month ago you would struggle to get 2.50 on Pickett reaching 25+ possessions. After a quiet fortnight and a match-up against arguably the leagues best midfield, we like these odds. If the Demons are to challenge Kozzie is going to need to fire. If you don’t like him for 25+. take him for 20 and two goals. It’s not often he’s quiet three weeks in a row.
Melbourne v Fremantle prediction
The Demons have the home ground advantage and have played well at the MCG all year. This is perfect for the Dockers, who need more MCG time against good opposition, which the Demons should provide. Ultimately though, the older and more physically ready Dockers should have too much ammo for the Victorian club. Expect a close first half, before the Dockers ease away in the premiership quarter. Our final Melbourne v Fremantle prediction? Dockers by 29 points.
