US PGA Championship 2020 odds analysis and free betting tips

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Welcome to our betting tips, predictions and preview of the first golf major of 2020, the PGA Championship from TPC Harding Park on the edge of San Francisco, California.

This tournament will be held without spectators because of the COVID-19 pandemic but has attracted the best field since competitive golf resumed in the US.

More: Golf betting guide

Of course, the PGA tour schedule has been thrown into chaos along with all sport and life in general worldwide; this tournament was originally scheduled to be played in mid-May.

The first PGA tour tournament back was the Charles Schwab Challenge starting on June 11 at Colonial, won by rising star Daniel Berger of the US.

Since then winners on the main tour have included veteran Webb Simpson, big hitters Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau, Collin Morikawa, then world No.1 Jon Rahm of Spain and, most recently, Justin Thomas, who has arguably been the hottest player in the world since the resumption and reclaimed his No.1 ranking with his win at the St Jude Invitational.

While players such as Thomas, DeChambeau and two-time defending PGA Championship champion Brooks Koepka have run into good form heading into the major, others are not quite so easy to assess.

The great Tiger Woods heads in off a light schedule, while major winner Adam Scott has not played tournament golf at all in the lead-up.

Who will win the 2020 PGA Championship?

We considered a number of factors when seeking out our PGA Championship predictions, including past performances in this tournament, recent form, overall major performances, the course and the odds on offer.

The course: TPC Harding Park is 7234 yards and par 70. The course is not super long by modern standards but the power hitters are still expected to be advantaged. The USGA Rory McIlroy (2015) and Tiger Woods (2005) have both won world golf championship events at Harding Park in the past. The course has small greens and the rough will be much tougher than normal given it’s a major. It’s expected to be dry an have plenty of run so it could play into the hands of those who crush it. If the ball is the thick stuff, it’s a lot easier to muscle it on to the green from 90 yards out than it is from 170 yards.

2020 PGA Championship odds

$11 Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka
$12 Bryson Dechambeau
$15 Jon Rahm,  Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson
$21 Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay
$26 Webb Simpson, Tiger Woods
$29 Collin Morikawa
$34 Jason Day, $34 Hideki Matsuyama
* For full markets visit leading bookmaker William Hill.

2019 US PGA Championship results

Big-hitting American Brooks Koepka collected his fourth major title with an all-the-way win at Bethpage Black in Farmingdale, New York.

USA PGA Championship 2019 final leaderboard

272 Brooks Koepka (US) 63, 65, 70,74
274 Dustin Johnson (US) 69, 67, 69, 69
278 Patrick Cantlay (US)        69, 70, 68, 71, Jordan Spieth  (US) 69, 66, 72, 71, Matt Wallace (Eng) 69, 67, 70, 72
279 Luke List (US) 68, 68, 69, 74
280 Kang Sung-hoon (South Korea) 68, 70, 70, 72

PGA Championship recent winners, runners-up

2019: Brooks Koepka (US), Bethpage Black Course, Farmingdale, New York. Runner-up: Dustin Johnson  (US)
2018: Brooks Koepka  (US), Bellerive Country Club. Runner-up: Tiger Woods  (US)
2017: Justin Thomas, Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina. Runner-up: Francesco Molinari (Italy),  Louis Oosthuizen (South Africa), Patrick Reed  (US)
2016: Jimmy Walker  (US), Baltusrol Golf Club, Springfield, New Jersey. Runner-up:  Jason Day (Australia)
2015: Jason Day  (Australia), Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin.  Runner-up: Jordan Spieth  (US)
2014: Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland), Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky.  Runner-up: Phil Mickelson  (US)
2013: Jason Dufner  (US), Oak Hill Country Club, Rochester, New York. Runner-up:  Jim Furyk  (US)
2012: Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland), Kiawah Island Golf Resort, Kiawah Island, South Carolina. Runner-up: David Lynn (England)
2011: Keegan Bradley  (US), Atlanta Athletic Club, Johns Creek, Georgia.  Runner-up: Jason Dufner  (US)
2010: Martin Kaymer (Germany), Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin.  Runner-up: Bubba Watson  (US)

Free tips for the 2020 PGA Championship

The obvious bet is favourite Brooks Koepka, who is bidding to become the first player to win three PGA Championship titles in a row since the legendary Walter Hagen won four in a row from 1924-1927 when it was a match-play event. But we have dug a little deeper to find players we think can contend at juicier odds. Here are our free PGA Championship Betting Tips:

Xander Schauffele at around $21

The Californian will love playing in his home state and in his young career has second-placed finishes at the British Open and Masters and a third-place finish at the US Open. Schauffele combines long driving with deadly accurate iron play and in recent tournaments has flow under the radar but finished not too far out of the top 10. Expect him to dial it up again for the first major of 2020. This is a player we are confident will reach great heights and this could be the start.

Jason Day to win at $34

The Australian loomed as a dominant force in the game but injuries and illness and couple of other factors have conspired to leave him with just a single major, at this tournament in 2015. He is a magnificent player when on song and has shaken things up lately with a new coach. Four rounds in the 60s last weekend tell us that he could be on the verge of a return to contention. The same applies to superstar Jordan Spieth, who faded at the St Jude Invitational in the final but showed enough in the first three rounds to suggest the $51 on offer about him is value. You know if he is in the hunt he has the mental strength to win it.

New dates for golf’s majors in 2020

PGA Championship
New dates: August 6-9
Original dates: May 14-17
Location: TPC Harding Park, San Francisco

United States Open
New dates: September 17-20
Original dates: June 18-21
Location: Winged Foot Golf Club, Mamaroneck, New York

US Masters
New dates: November 12-15
Original dates: April 9-12
Location: Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia

British Open Championship
Cancelled. The R&A announced on April 6 that the 149th British Open would not be held in 2020. Royal St George’s will still host the 149th, in July 2021. The 150th Open will be at the home of golf, St Andrews, in 2022.
Original dates: July 16-19

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