Brisbane v Geelong betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Brisbane v Geelong betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 10 clash at the Gabba on Thursday night.
The Lions (1.46) are a hot favourite to defeat the Cats (2.70) with Australian betting sites. The Lions v Cats line has been set at 15.5 points, while the over/under total points mark is at 185.5.
The Lions have eased into the top four with six wins from nine matches, and are now the premiership favourite at 4.00, despite their significant injury list. Last match, they suffered a late scare but ultimately accounted for Carlton by 11 points.
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Chris Fagan’s team is likely to be boosted by the inclusion of premiership players Jarrod Berry and Darcy Gardiner, but they will lose unlucky veteran Lincoln McCarthy with a hamstring injury.
The Cats sit behind the Lions on percentage and are coming off an impressive victory over Collingwood at the MCG, but the Lions loom as another step up in class.
They are likely to be boosted by the inclusion of Mark Blicavs and potentially Jack Henry for the clash, while veteran Patrick Dangerfield has indicated he will play, despite a short turnaround.
While this clash is a grand final replay and potentially a September preview, it looms as more important for the Cats, as they were brushed aside in the biggest match of the year, and they need to show they can be competitive against the loaded Lions.
Brisbane Lions v Geelong betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Brisbane v Geelong tips:
Cam Rayner 2+ goals
Rayner undoubtedly has been worth his weight in gold to the Lions, but he has been quiet this season, and had just 13 possessions in their win over the Blues. Rayner has slipped well down the Lions players expected to kick goals, and you can secure 2.50 with Neds Australia on him booting two majors. This game is the exact type he has shone in the past.
Bailey Smith 30+ possessions
Just mark it down in your books, Smith won’t be paying 1.70 closer to game day to reach 30 possessions, so get on early. We’re also bullish on Lachie Neale reaching 30 possessions, although he may have to contend with Cats stopper Oisin Mullen, who did a job on Nick Daicos last round.
Brisbane to cover the line
The Lions are primed to cover the line late in this one, given the Cats are coming off a shorter break, and the 15.5 mark looks a little low. We expect this match to be low-scoring given the quality of both teams, but the Lions to kick away late.
Brisbane v Geelong prediction
We are not going to be fancy in our prediction here, with the Lions simply a cash cow for punters, and facing a team off a short break. We’re just hoping for our sanity, that Charlie Cameron doesn’t kick too many goals, because if we have to hear Country Road one more time the TV might go on mute. Our final Brisbane v Geelong prediction? Lions by 21 points.
