Fremantle v Adelaide betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Fremantle v Adelaide betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 23 clash at Optus Stadium on Friday night.
The Dockers (1.30) are heavy favourites to defeat the Crows (3.50) who will be keen to use the emotion surrounding Taylor Walker’s retirement to put in a big showing.
The Dockers v Crows line has been set at 22.5 points, while the total match points over/under is at 171.5 points, with both of these options set to attract action.
Fremantle will also be keen to bounce back to form after losing to Melbourne at the MCG, in what was their final match at the venue before a potential grand final.
A Dockers win against the Crows would also stitch up the minor premiership, although they do have a two match break on second-place Sydney and are in poll position either way.
The Dockers are set to be boosted by skipper Alex Pearce after he was rested against the Demons, with Oscar McDonald the player in the gun.
Adelaide fought out a tight victory over Richmond in the wet in a lacklustre performance, that will need to improve dramatically for them to roll the Dockers at home.
The Crows will regain Darcy Fogarty after his three week suspension, while Jake Soligo, Luke Nankervis and James Borlase are in contention to return from their injuries.
The Crows will take solace from having lost to the Dockers by two points earlier in the season, but the difficulty level does rise given the match is in Perth.
Fremantle v Adelaide betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the odds and found some value Dockers v Crows tips:
Darcy Fogarty 3+ goals
Fogarty owes his teammates after the striking incident against a Swans opponent left him on the sidelines for three matches. You are unlikely to get the $4 price next week on him kicking 3+, so we’re jumping on now.
Andrew Brayshaw 25+ possessions
Dockers stars Andrew Brayshaw and Caleb Serong were both down on their usual output against the Demons. Brayshaw is going to have a big role against the physical Crows midfield and we would be shocked if he doesn’t reach 25+ for a third week in a row. He’s short at 1.50 with betting sites but looms as our pick to top the Dockers possessions.
Fremantle to win 1-39
We can’t see the Dockers blowing the Crows away, with this a genuine top four battle, between two strong teams. While the Dockers should win at home, the Crows will give this a big shake. The $2.10 on offer for the 1-39 margin looms as the likely scenario.
Fremantle v Adelaide prediction
Fremantle should stitch up the minor premiership against the Crows and secure a mental edge over their finals rival. The Crows have often fallen short in the big games this year, but now is the time to fire. Beat the Dockers on the road and Giants (in the final round) and they will have some serious momentum. Despite this, it’s a bridge too far to tip against the top of the table Dockers in this one, even though they burnt our tipster last week (so we benched him). Our final Dockers v Crows prediction? Dockers by 11 points.
