Greyville racing tips, form & preview for Sunday, November 15
Our Hollywoodbets Greyville tips, form and preview focus on a competitive eight-race card on the turf on Sunday, November 15, where promising colt St Harry looks one of the better bets on a potentially tricky day of racing.
Peter Muscutt’s Australian import St Harry has built a considerable reputation since his stunning debut victory, although subsequent problems have restricted his appearances. He made an impressive return last month, coming from well off the pace to win on his Polytrack debut, and looks capable of following up in Race 6 despite stepping up in class and returning to the turf. Miss World shapes as the main danger after narrowly missing out in a Highveld feature, while Circumbendibus has useful course-and-distance form and Captain’s Christy should be competitive under a light weight.
MORE: South African horse racing
There could be opportunities for punters in the opening two races. Samuel Bellamy was well supported on debut but raced green before finishing in the money without being seriously tested. He should benefit from that experience and looks the one to beat in Race 1, with Rebel Ridge his biggest threat. Blenheim Palace and Remuneration appear closely matched in the second, although the improving Interstellar could upset the pair over the longer trip.
Chestnut Bomber is another leading contender in Race 5 after making an encouraging debut for Tienie Prinsloo behind the useful Scarlet Macaw. Keagan de Melo retains the ride, although the progressive filly Thought Control is chasing a fourth consecutive victory and looks a serious threat with just 52kg to carry. Sheriff John Stone could make a winning KZN debut in Race 3 if sufficiently forward after a break, while Day Two gets the nod in a wide-open fourth.
Below is our free form analysis and racing tips for all eight races at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Sunday, November 15
Race 1
Sumptuous Caterers Maiden Plate
SAMUEL BELLAMY (1) was well supported on debut but raced green and did well to finish in the money. He should benefit from that experience and from the best of the draw and an extra furlong he rates the one to beat. REBEL RIDGE (7) started at long odds, on debut but caught the eye when running on late to finish just behind the leaders. He too should enjoy the extra. This pair is likely to fight out the finish, but KING BUD (4) is lightly raced and was much improved last time out albeit on the poly while VESSEL OF LIGHT (5) can improve on his local debut.
Our tip: 1-7-4-5
Race 2
Outa Africa Maiden Plate (F & M)
There should not be much between BLENHEIM PALACE (5) and REMUNERATION (3) with little more than a length between them when last they met. It must be noted that that race was run in soft ground. REMUNERATION has run since and touched off on the poly when a red-hot favourite. INTERSTELLAR (8) has not been far back in two sprints and the step up in trip should suit. Watch the betting here. POWER EMPREZ (2) improved nicely second time out over the distance on the poly and can come on from that.
Our tip: 5-3-8-2
Race 3
Merlog Foods MR 84 Handicap
SHERIFF JOHN STONE (1) has not been out since May and has his first run in KZN for a new stable. However, his Cape form was solid and taking his racing fitness on trust he should be a strong contender from the best of the draw. CHARLIE BUCKET (4) is holding form well and his best two recent efforts have come on the turf although not disgraced on the poly last time out. PIED PIPER (5) finished a neck ahead of CHARLIE BUCKET in that last race on the poly, but his turf form is inferior to his rival which could be the deciding factor. GURKHA (14) made a cracking return to the track after a lengthy break. He has the worst of the draw but horses from this stable generally run from off the pace so the draw may not be too much of a concern. Keep a close eye on the markets at South African betting sites, and use it as your guide.
Our tip: 1-4-5-14
Race 4
Adventure Sports Exchange Classified Stakes
Gareth van Zyl could hold the key to a wide-open handicap. DAY TWO (11) has been holding form well and is 1kg better off with TOBACCONIST (10) on their last meeting over course and distance. Van Zyl also saddles the filly LAST OVATION (1) who is lightly raced and knocking at the door. She has a 2.5kg claimer aboard that should see her competitive. The grey ETZEBETH (8) was a runaway maiden winner first time out for his new stable and sent over ground. He has always shown potential and may well have found his niche.
Our tip: 11-10-1-8
Race 5
Antony Kerdachi & Associates Middle Stakes
Competitive handicap. CHESTNUT BOMBER (9) made a smart debut for his new stable behind the smart mare SCARLET MACAW. Keagan de Melo stays with the ride and he should go close. The filly THOUGHT CONTROL (10) takes on males and is hunting a fourth win on the bounce. She won well over course and distance last time out and although up in class she only has 52kg to shoulder with a world class rider so her wide gate is less of an issue. HANDSOME PRINCE (13) found some market support in his local debut but showed up well. He does not have the best of draws but does have a handy weight. Seasoned campaigner LICENCE TO THRILL (1) has the best of the draw and although he steps up in trip his sprint form is solid.
Our tip: 9-10-13-1
Race 6
Kent Motors Middle Stakes
ST HARRY (7) has always had a big reputation after his stunning debut win but has had problems subsequent to that victory. However, he showed that all the hype may not be misplaced as he made a smart return to the track, coming from well off the pace to take victory in his poly debut. He steps up in class and back on the turf but can follow up. MISS WORLD (3) was touched off in a Highveld feature last run on the TAB Turffontein inside track. She has a fair weight to shoulder but is in good form. CIRCUMBENDIBUS (6) comes off a break but has useful form over course and distance and gets on well for this apprentice. CAPTAIN’S CHRISTY (2) is seldom far off and from a good draw and a light weight she should again be competitive.
Our tip: 7-3-6-2
Race 7
Surety Solutions FM 84 Handicap (F & M)
LADY NANCY (5) only shed her maiden last run, but it was an emphatic victory in her seasonal debut after racing in a Gr 1 prior to that. She could prove too smart for what is a competitive line-up. Mike and Mathew de Kock are two-handed. LIMERICK LACE (1) is lightly raced and has her third run back from a long break. She has the best of the draw although the De Kock’s regular rider Callan Murray partners TUSCAN ROMANCE (7) who was touched off in the same race as LIMERICK LACE and there should not be much between the two again. SHOWGIRL (10) came in for some late money at her last start when trying the poly and further and was not too far back. Back over what looks to be a better surface and distance she can make amends.
Our tip: 5-1-7-10
Race 8
Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 74 Handicap
FINAL CALL (8) takes on males and has her first run in KZN. However, her recent Cape form is solid and she should be one of the leading contenders. CASINO ROYALE (5) had only his second start as a four-year-old and won his Maiden well from a wide draw. He is likely to come on from that in modest company. PROPHET (2) has come well in three smart efforts for his new stable. He has a handy draw and a light weight. FRENCH WAR LORD (3) won well over course and distance last time out and has won two of his last three. He is lightly raced and can go in again.
Our tip: 8-5-2-3
