Bledisloe Cup Game 4: Australia v New Zealand betting tips, prediction & odds
Welcome to our preview of the final 2020 Bledisloe Cup rugby match between Australia and New Zealand at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane on Saturday, November 7.
This match is a dead rubber as far as the Bledisloe Cup goes as the All Blacks sealed the trophy for an incredible 18th consecutive year with their record-breaking win in Sydney.
Given the ease with which New Zealand dismissed the Australians last week, it’s difficult to see how new Wallabies coach Dave Rennie can turn things around within a week.
They will be fired up to prove their fans that they are headed in the right direction but they just don’t appear to have the firepower to halt the Kiwis juggernaut.
More: Betting on rugby union
Teams new for Bledisloe Cup game 4
The All Blacks have the series in their keeping so have decided to give some of their lesser lights more game time. Coach Ian Foster has included four debutants and made eight changes to his starting side.
Akira Ioane comes in at back-rower for his first Test, while the other newcomers, Asafo Aumua, Cullen Grace and Will Jordan, all start on the pine. Outstanding No.8 Ardie Savea is back in the side after missing the Sydney match on paternity leave, while Scott Barrett and Codie Taylor are also back among the starters.
For the Wallabies, hard-hitting NSW Waratahs’ blindside breakaway Lachlan Swinton makes his debut and replaces Ned Hanigan, who is back on the pine. Debutant Tom Wright replaces winger Filipo Dauguno in the starting side, while prop Angus Bell wins his first cap off the bench.
With James O’Connor still not fit, Rennie has called on Reece Hodge to play No.10 in a a major surprise. He replaces Noah Lolesio, who looked a boy among men against the Kiwis last week.
2020 Bledisloe Cup fixture, results
October 11: New Zealand 16 (Jordie Barrett, Aaron Smith tries; Jordie Barrett 2 pens) drew with Australia 16 (Filipo Daugunu, Marika Koroibete tries; James O’Connor 2 pens), Sky Stadium, Wellington.
October 18: New Zealand 27 (Aaron Smith, Jordie Barrett, Ardie Savea, Sam Cane tries; Richie Mo’unga 2 cons, pen) d Australia 7 (Marika Koroibete try; James O’Connor conversion), Eden Park, Auckland
October 31: New Zealand 43 (Richie Mo’unga 2, Karl Tu’inukuafe, Dane Coles, Rieko Ioane, Jordie Barrett tries; Richie Mo’unga 5 cons, pen) d Australia 5 (Noah Lolesio try), ANZ Stadium, Sydney
November 7: 9.45pm NZ time, 7:45pm (AEDT) Australia v New Zealand, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
2020 Bledisloe Cup game four teams
New Zealand: 1 Karl Tu’inukuafe, 2 Codie Taylor, 3 Ofa Tuungafasi, 4 Scott Barrett, 5 Sam Whitelock, 6 Akira Ioane, 7 Sam Cane (c), 8 Ardie Savea; 9 TJ Perenara, 10 Beauden Barrett, 11 Rieko Ioane, 12 Ngani Laumape, 13 Anton Lienert-Brown, 14 Sevu Reece, 15 Jordie Barrett. Replacements: Asafo Aumua, Alex Hodgman, Tyrel Lomax, Patrick Tuipulotu, Cullen Grace, Brad Weber, Damian McKenzie, Will Jordan.
Australia: 1 James Slipper, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 4 Rob Simmons, 5 Matt Philip, 6 Lachie Swinton, 7 Michael Hooper (c), 8 Harry Wilson; 9 Nic White, 10 Reece Hodge, 11 Marika Koroibete, 12 Hunter Paisami, 13 Jordan Petaia, 14 Tom Wright, 15 Tom Banks. Replacements: Folau Fainga’a, Angus Bell, Taniela Tupou, Ned Hanigan, Liam Wright, Tate McDermott, Noah Lolesio, Filipo Daugunu
Read on for our free New Zealand v Australia tips ahead of their clash in Brisbane on Saturday, November 7.
All Blacks v Wallabies odds
|Start:||7.45pm (AEDT), November 7|
|Venue:||Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane|
|Head-to-head odds:||Australia ($6.10) v New Zealand ($1.13)|
|Line betting:||Australia +14.5 ($2) v New Zealand -14.5 ($1.81)|
All Blacks v Wallabies
Our rugby union betting expert has scoured the odds and found several value tips for Saturday’s Bledisloe Cup game.
All Blacks -14.5 points at $1.90
We were way off the mark last time when we expected the Wallabies to push the All Blacks all the way. If anything, this All Blacks side is even stronger and they will want to hammer home their dominance. We are hoping for a close contest as a neutral fan but expect the Kiwis to power away again. This is a good anchor for your sports multi-bets or add it to the overs in the match total market when that betting is available.
Marika Koroibete first try-scorer at $19
This is a bit of a throw at the stumps but we see outside flyer Koroibete as possibly the only Wallabies player who might get a start in the All Blacks side and also the most likely to produce a moment of magic and cross for the home team. He is at double the normal odds because bookies expect the All Blacks to score the first try but we will take the odds to Australia making a bright start and have a small wager on Koroibete.
All Blacks v Wallabies prediction 7/11/2020
New Zealand have won 13 of the past 15 matches between the teams and last week’s 38 points was a record margin. It’s hard to see the Wallabies being that bad again but it’s also hard to see them upsetting the All Blacks. New Zealand rugby teams do not do dead rubbers so they are not likely to drop their guard. They have regained some of their best players for this clash, as well as resting players like boom youngster Caleb Clarke. We want to see a tight contest but unfortunately it looks all one-way traffic. Our final Australia v New Zealand prediction: All Blacks by 20 points.
Wallabies v All Blacks lowdown
New Zealand: Free-to-air: Delayed coverage on Prime; subscription TV: Sky Sport 1. Australia: Free-to-air: Channel 10; Subscription TV: Foxtel; streaming/IPTV: Kayo.
All of the top online betting sites will offer markets on rugby.
The game starts at 7.45pm local time on November 7, 2020.
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