Fremantle v Geelong betting tips and prediction
Welcome to our Fremantle v Geelong betting tips and winner prediction for their AFL round 15 clash at Optus Stadium on Thursday night.
The Dockers (1.44) are heavy favourites to defeat the Cats (2.82) and make it 13 wins on the trot, a club record, but they face the one team that has beaten them this season.
Geelong has nine wins from 14 matches and bounced back to their best, after a pair of narrow losses, with an easy victory over Gold Coast.
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The Dockers have an exceptionally fit list coming off the bye with Sam Sturt (leg) the only unavailable senior player. They will be boosted by the return of Caleb Serong (calf) and Brennan Cox (knee), while several others including ruckman Sean Darcy will come into consideration, although his replacement Mason Cox has been outstanding.
Geelong will give Tom Stewart every opportunity to return from concussion, while Gryan Miers (rested), Jack Bowes, Brad Close and Rhys Stanley are listed as tests.
The Cats also received a boost last weekend with live-wire forward Tyson Stengle booting four goals in the VFL in his return from a long layoff with personal issues, but he looks to need a good block of training and VFL form to earn a recall.
Fremantle v Geelong betting tips
Our AFL betting expert has assessed the markets and found some value Fremantle v Geelong tips:
Michael Frederick 2+ goals
The Cats have been burnt by players like Frederick in the past, with his athleticism and pace sure to trouble his opponent, and he is in form after a two goal game against the Roos a fortnight ago. He is paying around 3.70 to reach two goals, value that would have been unheard of last season. Dockers talls Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss and Patrick Voss are all in strong form, but their odds are short for such unpredictable outputs.
Tanner Bruhn 20+ possessions
Bruhn will be an important player in this clash and is paying 1.95 to gather 20+ possessions with NextBet (NextBet review), and although he has been down two of the last three weeks, we think this clash suits him against a Dockers midfield that likes it hard and tough. Usual suspects Bailey Smith and Max Holmes will undoubtedly win plenty of ball. Key dockers who are likely to reach 25+ include returnee Serong, Andrew Brayshaw and Jordan Clark.
Jack Martin 2+ goals
Martin has been a great pickup for the Cats and can get off the chain in high-pressure matches. He’s paying 3.10 to kick 2+ goals and can be an ideal foil for the Cats more fancied forwards. We also don’t mind Oliver Henry for 2+ at 2.10.
Fremantle v Geelong prediction
The Dockers are hard to tip against at the moment, given their glittering form, particularly on their home deck. The Cats obviously have the weapons to beat them, have done so this year, and they will be hoping for a lacklustre effort give the Dockers are coming off a bye. You could do worse than using the wire to wire market, taking the Cats to lead at any quarter break, but the Dockers to ultimatey win, when they click into gear n the second half. Our final Fremantle v Geelong prediction? Dockers by 14 points.
