Richmond v Geelong tips, best bets and odds; AFL Rd 8 preview 2021
Welcome to our Richmond v Geelong tips, best bets and odds update ahead of their AFL round 8 match at the MCG on Friday night.
Richmond have been priced as $1.58 favourites for the clash, with the Cats $2.39 with TopSport.com.au. The $1.90 line has been set at 7.5 points in a match in which the 2020 grand finalists face off.
The Cats have not beaten the Tigers since round 12, 2019, when Patrick Dangerfield and Gary Ablett ran rampant to help them to a 67-point win. Neither of these two will be there this time, but Cats fans have reason to feel bullish given their opponents’ fresh injury concerns.
The Tigers suffered a major blow following their stirring win over the Western Bulldogs, with captain Trent Cotchin (hamstring) and Dylan Grimes (concussion) both set to miss this clash. The loss of Cotchin cannot purely be measured in possessions, with his performance last up without Dustin Martin a true leaders’ game.
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The Tigers had been lambasted following their loss to Melbourne, but upped the pressure against the Bulldogs, and despite Martin and other key players absence, were too good for the previously unbeaten team. Martin, who is a recent addition to our best AFL players of all time list, is expected to return against the Cats.
Geelong are still reeling after suffering a two-point last-gasp loss to Sydney at the SCG on Saturday night. They were below their best on the small ground and they will relish a return to Melbourne, but they have lost more key players.
Young forward Gryan Miers (leg) is set for an extended stint on the sidelines, while Irish speedster Mark O’Connor could be out for up to a month with a hamstring. They join the likes of Dangerfield on the sidelines, with the Geelong star set to miss at least another five weeks.
The Cats could be boosted by the inclusion of North Melbourne recruit Shaun Higgins, who will undergo a test on his hamstring injury. Defender Jake Kolodjashnij will also come into the conversation after battling a knee injury.
This clash will give us a serious guide to the Cats premiership chances, with their inability to beat Richmond consistently no doubt factoring in their decision to recruit Jeremy Cameron.
Continue reading for our free Richmond v Geelong betting tips and winner prediction for their round 8 AFL clash from the MCG from 7:50pm on Friday night.
|Start:||7.50pm AEST, May 7|
|Head-to-head odds:||Richmond ($1.58) v Geelong ($2.39)|
|Line betting:||Richmond -7.5 points ($1.90) v Geelong +7.5 ($1.90)|
|Premiership odds:||Richmond $5; Geelong $10|
Geelong v Richmond tips
WGL’s AFL betting expert has examined the odds and found some value Geelong v Richmond tips:
Jeremy Cameron to kick 4+ goals
Cameron might be only a few games deep into his time in Geelong, but he seems to be fitting in nicely, despite his partner in crime, Tom Hawkins, not hitting the scoreboard heavily. Cameron kicked three goals against the Swans and might have had several more and we think, against an undermanned Richmond defence, which would have sent Grimes to him, he can be a match-winner against the Tigers. He is paying a juicy $7 to kick 4+ goals with online bookmakers in Australia.
Dustin Martin to have 25+ touches
No Cotchin, Prestia and Lambert and the great form of of the enigmatic Shai Bolton means we think Martin will play majority midfield against the Cats. While it can be fraught with danger including Bolton and Martin in possessions betting, because of their changing roles, Damien Hardwick’s hand has been semi-forced here. He is paying $1.50 to get 25+ possessions.
Geelong +7.5 in line betting
Geelong appears to be healthier for this game and the $1.90 for them +7.5 is good value for punters in line betting. The Cats midfield can look ordinary at times, especially with Dangerfield sidelined, but if they can’t beat a depleted Richmond team with a 7.5-point start they can almost kiss their premiership aspirations goodbye in 2021.
Richmond v Geelong prediction 7/5/2021
The injuries are mounting at Punt Road and one thing we have seen this year across the board is that young players are struggling to string good matches together (unless you are Sam Walsh). The Tigers have blooded plenty and potentially will introduce another youngster this week. We are planning on watching selection closely and if Nick Vlastuin is not selected to return from his injury we’re going to take the Cats, because we think the odds are a little bit too tilted in the Tigers’ favour for this one, with Cameron to be the difference. Our final Richmond v Geelong prediction? Cats by six points.
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