Scottsville racing tips & form analysis for Sunday, July 19
Our Hollywoodbets Scottsville tips, form and preview focus on a competitive nine-race card on Sunday, July 19, where Buddy Boy could prove the punters’ friend when he lines up in the seventh, a Class 4 handicap over 1600m.
Mike and Mathew de Kock’s runner was a fair third behind the useful Fortress Of Fire in a poly sprint last time out. He should enjoy the switch back to turf over what may prove a more suitable trip, looks the horse to beat and could provide punters with a possible exotic bet banker.
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Fast And Free has been trying much further but has not been far back and could improve over the shorter trip, while Gareth van Zyl saddles two contenders in I Am Invictus and Wiccan Warrior. I Am Invictus was narrowly beaten over course and distance last time out and can go one better, while Wiccan Warrior produced an improved effort when second at long odds with ZAR betting sites.
The De Kock stable could also have a say in the card opener with well-bred first-timers Ibhola Lomlilo and Sparrow Man, although they must get past experienced runners such as Dancing Party, Mekong and Pacific Mood. Steamy Windows looks a strong chance in Race 2 after contesting feature company, while Thelea brings useful Cape form into her local debut in Race 3.
Later on the card, Flamethrower could prove too classy for his rivals after taking on a strong feature field first time out of the maidens, while Arverni Princess chases a fourth consecutive course-and-distance victory in the last. Fleur De Ling is better off at the weights from their most recent clash and should ensure another close finish.
Below is our free form analysis and racing tips for all nine races at Scottsville on Sunday.
Race 1
SCOTTSVILLE WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies)
Of those that have run, DANCING PARTY (3) has made steady improvement and was close-up on this course last time out. MEKONG (1) has seldom been far back and gets first-time blinkers, which could see her improve. PACIFIC MOOD (4) found some market support last run when trying further in the soft and can improve. SEQUENTIAL (2) took on males last run off a light weight and can improve. Of the unraced runners, Mike and Mathew de Kock’s filly IBHOLA LOMLILO (6) could be worth watching in the betting.
Our tip: 3-1-4-2
Race 2
Gallop TV Juvenile Plate
STEAMY WINDOWS (8) has been trying further, but his two post-maiden runs have been in feature company. He looks the part here. KID FROM THE SOUTH (2) shed his maiden last run but does look progressive and should be a factor. The filly THYME TO TALK (3) took on males on the poly last time out and has run two smart races. She shed her maiden on debut on this course at lengthy odds. OMKHULU BOSS (6) is a maiden but has found betting support at his last two and can go close.
Our tip: 8-2-6-3
Race 3
BET WITH TOTE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M)
THELEIA (10) has had a short break and makes her local debut from a wide draw. However, she boasts some smart Cape form and should make a bold bid. LOVECOMESKNOCKING (3) has made steady improvement and was a close-up second over course and distance last time out. A favourable draw adds to her appeal. INDIGNATION (2) has made recent improvement and was not far back over course and distance last time out. She gets a useful 4kg claimer aboard from a good draw. GIMME THE POWER (9) has been knocking at the door for some time now. Her last two starts have been on the poly and she can run into the money again.
Our tip: 10-3-2-9
Race 4
BET WITH COLOSSUS POOLS EXCLUSIVE ON www.tote.co.za OPEN MAIDEN
GIVE ME A CHANCE (3) found some market support in his last Highveld sprint. He has champion-elect Craig Zackey aboard and can pay his way for Paul Matchett. OLD HARRY ROCKS (6) showed up well on debut although starting at long odds. The run should have brought him on a few lengths. The filly BAI YULU (8) made marked improvement in first-time blinkers over course and distance but does have a fair weight in this Open Maiden. HADRIAN’S WALL (7) was run out of it late last start. His best two have been over course and distance and he gets a 1.5kg allowance from the saddle but still has a big weight.
Our tip: 3-6-8-7
Race 5
BRIGHT FUTURE FOR SA HORSE RACING MIDDLE STAKES (F & M)
TULIP FIELDS (8) has a big weight but has been in good form of late and her last win came over the distance. A wide draw does not help but horses from this yard are generally dropped out to run on. LADYOFDISTINCTION (7) is back over what might be a more suitable trip. She is seldom out of the money. DE VLUGGE (3) has been rocketing up the ratings as she bids for her fifth successive win. However, all have been on the poly, which is a concern. MISS WORLD (4) has run two smart races for her new stable and now steps up in trip.
Our tip: 8-7-3-4
Race 6
LUCKY FISH TURF LUCK APPRENTICE CLASS 5 (F & M)
Open. HOP HOP SPINNEKOP (2) came from a mile back when touched off over course and distance last time out. Her apprentice does not claim but is riding with confidence. TAYLOR’S VERSION (1) has been much improved back in blinkers and her last three runs have been on this course. She has the best of the draw and should feature. Stable companion LILAC IN WINTER (5) had her latest win on this course and since has put in two fair efforts on the poly. She has a more than capable claiming apprentice aboard. MISSISSIPPI SPICE (9) has the widest draw but is seldom far back recently and has a handy weight.
Our tip: 2-1-5-9
Race 7
IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST BROUGHT TO YOU BY GALLOP TV CLASS 4
BUDDY BOY (2) was a fair third behind the useful FORTRESS OF FIRE in a poly sprint last time out. He will enjoy the switch to turf back over what looks to be a more suitable trip. FAST AND FREE (1) has been trying much further but has not been far back. He could do better with the shorter trip. I AM INVICTUS (7) was narrowly beaten over course and distance last time out. He is lightly raced and can go one better. Stable companion WICCAN WARRIOR (3) started at long odds when second last time out. This is his second recent run in blinkers and he is back on turf.
Our tip: 2-1-7-3
Race 8
TOTE FOR THE WIN APPRENTICE D STAKES
FLAMETHROWER (4) has a big weight in spite of a claiming apprentice, but he took on a strong feature race field first time out of the maidens and could prove too classy for this line-up. IRON WILL (3) lives up to his name and bids for his eighth win from 51 starts. He is quick and with a 4kg claimer aboard he must have a strong chance. LUNCH MONEY (5) has smart poly form and should make a bold bid in spite of switching to turf. DIAMOND MAKER (8) showed up well first run out of the maidens and has a chance in this line-up.
Our tip: 4-3-5-2
Race 9
Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M)
ARVERNI PRINCESS (4) has won her last three over course and distance and can follow up. However, she has an apprentice hunting his first winner aboard, while biggest danger FLEUR DE LING (8), a length behind her when they last met, has Rachel Venniker riding. The latter is 1kg better off in the handicap, which could make the difference, but it should be close. CAPTAIN VENTURA (6) is quick and should be right there while RUBY RISING (5) is way better than her last run and is a must inclusion in all calculations.
Our tip: 4-8-6-5
