State of Origin 2: NSW v Queensland 2020: betting tips, prediction & odds
Welcome to our NSW v Queensland preview, predictions and odds update for the second State of Origin match at ANZ Stadium on Wednesday, November 11.
The Origin series always throws up plenty of surprises and controversy and the Maroons’ 18-14 win in game one has certainly brought this series to life.
Queensland did what Queensland do in ambushing the Blues after the latter led 10-0 at half-time.
The Maroons’ win means the Blues must repeat what they did last season and come from a game down if they want to win the series and make it three in a row. This time though, they need to win in Sydney and then repeat the dose at the home of Queensland rugby league, Suncorp Stadium.
NSW must do it without captain Boyd Cordner, who was ruled out for the rest of the series, with fullback James Tedesco taking on the captain’s role.
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Queensland played with tremendous discipline after half-time in the opening game in Adelaide, and the Blues could not withstand the pressure, crumbling with some simple mistakes at crucial times.
The Blues responded gamely once they were behind in the match, and in the end just ran out of time as they pushed for the equalising try in the dying stages. They have reshuffled the line-up, including making the key change of dropping Queensland-born five-eighth Luke Keary and starting Cody Walker at pivot after Walker impressed when he came on in the second half in Adelaide.
2020 State of Origin Game 2 teams
NSW have lost captain Boyd Cordner (head knock) and unlucky Souths back-rower Cameron Murray (hamstring) to injury. Murray was injured in his first carry of the match when he twisted awkwardly in a tackle.
Keary has carried the can for the Blues’ misfiring attack in the first Origin game, being dropped to 18th man with Souths flyer Cody Walker taking over at five-eighth.
Broncos young gun Payne Haas comes into the Blues’ starting line-up at prop in a swap with Junior Paulo, who reverts to the bench. Veteran second-rower Dale Finucane has been added to the bench, along with Nathan Brown and Isaah Yeo, who are both scheduled to make their Origin debuts.
Queensland have lost AJ Brimson (lisfranc ligament) and prop Christian Welch (head knock) to injury, and dropped Coen Hess. Valentine Holmes replaces Brimson at fullback, while Dunamis Lui comes into the starting line-up for Welch.
Jaydn Su’A, who impressed off the pine last week, also is added to the starting line-up for Hess, while debutant prop Moeaki Fotuaika has been added to the bench.
NSW: 1. James Tedesco (c), 2. Daniel Tupou, 3. Clint Gutherson, 4. Jack Wighton, 5. Josh Addo-Carr, 6. Cody Walker, 7. Nathan Cleary, 8. Daniel Saifiti, 9. Damien Cook, 10. Payne Haas, 11. Angus Crichton, 12. Tyson Frizell, 13. Jake Trbojevic. Interchange: 14. Dale Finucane, 15. Junior Paulo, 16. Nathan Brown, 17. Isaah Yeo.
Queensland: 1. Valentine Holmes, 2. Xavier Coates, 3. Kurt Capewell, 4. Dane Gagai, 5. Phillip Sami, 6. Cameron Munster, 7. Daly Cherry-Evans (c), 8. Dunamis Lui, 9. Jake Friend, 10. Josh Papalii, 11. Felise Kaufusi, 12. Jaydn Su’A, 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui. Interchange: 14. Ben Hunt, 15. Lindsay Collins, 16. Jai Arrow, 17. Moeaki Fotuaika.
Read on for our Blues v Maroons tips and winner prediction for their State of Origin clash on Wednesday, November 11.
State of Origin 2020 results, schedule
Game 1: Wednesday, November 4: Queensland 18 (A.J. Brimson, Xavier Coates, Cameron Munster; Daly Cherry-Evans 3 conversions) d NSW 14 (Damien Cook, Josh Addo-Carr 2 tries; Nathan Cleary 1 conversion) at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide.
Game 2: Wednesday, November 11, 8.10pm (AEDT), ANZ Stadium, Sydney
Game 3: Wednesday, November 18, 8.10pm (AEDT), Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Qld v NSW odds
Kick-off: 8.10pm AEDT
Venue: ANZ Stadium, Sydney
Head to head odds: NSW $1.32, Queensland $3.50
Line betting: NSW (-9.5 points) $1.90, Queensland (+9.5 points) $1.90
Match total: 39.5 points: over $1.85, under $1.95
Queensland v NSW free betting tips
Below our NRL betting expert has highlighted his free Blues-Maroons betting tips for Wednesday night’s game.
Qld +9.5 points/match total under 39.5 points
The bookies have posted a huge line of 9.5 points and while we think the Blues are deserved favourites on their home turf, this is Origin football, and everything becomes a little tougher than it is during the NRL season. When the Maroons went back to basics in the second half in Adelaide, they were fantastic.
Man of the match betting
Daly Cherry-Evans surprisingly got the nod for Queensland in the first match when it seemed to us that centre Dane Gagai was a clear winner. That is the problem with this type of bet: it is so subjective and if the Channel Nine team take a liking to a certain player’s game, that is who will win it. Still, it’s a bet type worth a small wager on a player from each team to keep you interested if one team dominates. This week, we like the look of Damien Cook ($9.50) for the Blues, and Cameron Munster ($11) for the Maroons.
NSW Blues v Queensland Maroons prediction 11-11-2020
The interest in the opening match seemed well down on the usual Origin series, as of course it is played out of season this year because of the pandemic. But that match has surely sparked great interested now in the last two games, as Queensland seek to seal what would be an upset series win. Either way, you will get a great game of football. Our State of Origin 2 prediction: NSW by four points.
NSW v Qld lowdown
Channel Nine will telecast the game.
All of the top International betting sites will offer markets on the Origin series.
The Blues-Maroons match will kick off at 8.10pm AEDT.
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