Australian Open tennis semi-final tips and odds update
Welcome to our betting preview and tips article for the 2020 Australian Open tennis semi-finals at Melbourne Park.
We will look at the women’s and men’s semi-finals, with both women’s matches to be played on Thursday, January 30.
First-up is the Australian world No.1 Ashleigh Barty up against rising America Sofia Kenin, who was ranked 15 before this event.
Barty is attempting to become the first Australian woman to win the Australian Open title since Chris O’Neil in 1978.
The winner of the Barty-Kenin match-up will face the winner of second semi-final between Romanian Simon Halep, ranked three, and the Spaniard Garbine Muguruza, ranked 32.
The final is to be played on Saturday.
Meanwhile the combatants in the first men’s semi-final need no introduction. Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer have won 13 of the past 16 Australian Open men’s titles between them. Djokovic has seven titles and Federer six, but the gulf between them appears much larger as the 38-year-old Federer’s career nears its end.
The winner of the Thursday evening match (local time), will qualify for Sunday’s final where they will play the winner of the Friday semi-final between German Alexander Zverev and Australian Dominic Thiem, who took out the world No.1 Rafael Nadal in a quarter-final.
Read on to find our players to bet on in the 2020 Australian Open semi-finals and other insights into who will win the title at Melbourne Park.
Australian Open 2020 updated odds
Men’s singles betting
$1.36 Novak Djokovic
$5 Dominic Thiem
$10 Alexander Zverev
$13 Roger Federer
Thursday, January 30
Novak Djokovic $1.13 v Roger Federer $6
Friday, January 31
Alexander Zverev $2.50 v Dominic Thiem $1.50
Women’s singles betting
$2.25 Ashleigh Barty
$2.88 Simona Halep
$5 Garbine Muguruza
$8 Sofia Kenin
Thursday, January 30
Ashleigh Barty $1.36 v Sofia Kenin $3.10
Simona Halep $1.62 v Garbine Muguruza $2.25
Tips for Australian Open semi-finals 2020
Ashley Barty to win semi-final in three sets at $4.20
Barty holds a 4-1 edge over Kenin in head-to-head match-ups, with two of the five matches going to a third set. We think this one will too, given the enormous pressure the home-crowd favourite will be under. But she is the world No.1 for a reason and has already ticked off a grand slam title at Roland Garros, so we think Barty will prove a little too strong in the deciding set. Kenin has dropped only one set in this tournament so far, and clearly is headed for a place in the world’s top half-dozen women’s players.
Garbine Muguruza to win semi-final at $2.25
The powerful Muguruza and Simona Halep have played each other five times previously, with the Spaniard holding a 3-2 winning record, with each of her three wins coming on hardcourts while Halep’s two wins have both come on clay. Muguruza has two grand slams under her belt, the 2016 French Open and 2017 Wimbledon. Halep has also won French and Wimbledon titles, in 2018 and last year. But we think Muguruza has finally rediscovered her mojo after a lean 2019 and is better suited on the Melbourne Park surface.
Novak Djokovic to win 3 sets to 1 against Federer
As much as we’d love to see the old warrior Roger Federer at 38 reach another Australian Open final, we don’t think he has much chance against the relentless Serb. Federer had to overcome injury and then save eight match points just to win his quarter-final against journeyman Tennys Sandgren, and that just does not stack up against Djokovic. But we are backing the great Swiss to rise to the occasion at least long enough to take a set. The crowd will no doubt be right behind him. In head to head play, Djokovic leads 26-23 and Federer has not beaten win in a grand slam since Wimbledon 2012.
Australian Open semi-final predictions
The bookies have Novak Djokovic as an odds-on favourite to win the men’s title so it would be a major shock if he fell at the penultimate hurdle against a hobbled and ageing Federer who does not quite seem to have to same crispness in all his groundstrokes as he did just a couple of years back. Sorting out a final opponent for Djokovic is a lot less simple, but whoever wins through on the other side out of Thiem and Zverev will at least have the vocal Australian crowd on their side as they love an underdog.
That crowd will be in full voice cheering on their favourite sportsperson Ash Barty, who should be able to make the final at least. As mentioned we see Barty squaring off against the powerful Garbine Muguruza come Saturday evening. Good punting.
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