NRL Sunday: Storm v Knights, predictions & odds, round 12, 2020
Welcome to our Melbourne Storm v Newcastle Knights NRL betting preview and free tips article for their clash at Sunshine Coast Stadium on Sunday, August 2.
The Storm have been in sublime form since relocating to the Sunshine Coast, while the Knights have slipped dramatically of late, including a disastrous 18-12 loss last week to the lowly Bulldogs.
Not only did the Knights lose to the bottom team, they also lost veteran hooker Andrew McCullough (hamstring) and utility Connor Watson (achilles) to injury for the rest out of the season.
Given the Storm have won their past eight games against the Knights by an average of almost 20 points, it’s hard to tip against the second-placed side.
READ: NRL match betting previews and tips
Round 12 NRL title odds update and fixture
NRL Thursday: St George Illawarra v South Sydney betting preview
NRL Friday: Brisbane Broncos v Cronulla Sharks betting preview
NRL Saturday: Manly Sea Eagles v Penrith Panthers
The past two meetings between these teams have been a 34-4 win to the Storm last season, and a 26-12 win for the Storm in Newcastle just six weeks ago.
Still, this match is the most enticing of the day, with the earlier match between Canterbury-Bankstown and Parramatta from 2pm.
The Storm have lost hard-running centre Brenko Lee (broken hand) to injury, with Marion Seve replacing him, while they regain Tom Eisenhuth after a hamstring injury.
The Knights have called in young hooker Chris Randall for only his second NRL to replace McCullough. Sione Mata’utia (syndesmosis) is also sidelined, with veteran Aidan Guerra back in the starting side.
Read on for our best bets and winner prediction for the Storm v Knights clash at Sunshine Coast Stadium on Sunday, August 2.
Storm v Knights odds
Kick-off: 4.05pm local time
Venue: Sunshine Coast Stadium, Queensland
Head to head odds: Melbourne Storm $1.22, Newcastle $4.25
Line betting: Melbourne Storm (-11.5 points) $1.91, Newcastle (+11.5 points) $1.85
Match total: 41.5 points: over $1.86, under $1.94
Storm v Knights free betting tips
Below our NRL betting expert has highlighted his free tips for the Melbourne-Newcastle clash.
Match total under 41.5 points
The overs option has been well backed in the lead-up to this game, but we will buck the trend and take the $1.94 on offer about the match total being under 41.5 points. The Knights and Storm are two of the better defensive outfits in the NRL at the moment and we expect the Knights to try to turn this one into an arm-wrestle. That’s their best chance of getting a result anyway.
Josh Addo-Carr first try at $7
We seldom try our luck at this type of bet as we think it’s more about luck than good management, but we will make an exception this week. The Melbourne winger known as The Fox is the arguably the fastest man in rugby league and he is looking in threatening form once again. There is no better sight in the game than Addo-Carr running broken play and we will back him to strike early.
Melbourne Storm v Newcastle Knights prediction
This match will be a real test of the depth of the rising Newcastle side. On paper, they are still turning out a decent unit with plenty of attacking firepower and a good forward pack. The test will be how well the bench stacks up when they are called upon. One factor that raises hope of an upset is that Knights coach Adam O’Brien was an assistant for many years at Melbourne Storm, so knows as well as anyone their game plan. But Melbourne are simply travelling too well at the moment so our final prediction is for the Storm to win by eight points.
Storm v Knights lowdown
Channel Nine, Fox League and KAYO will telecast the game, or it can be streamed at NRL.com.
All of the top International betting sites will offer markets on the NRL.
The game will kick off at 4.05pm local time.
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