Melbourne v St Kilda betting tips, prediction & odds update; AFL Rd 14 preview
Welcome to our Melbourne v St Kilda betting tips, prediction and odds update for their AFL rd 14 clash at Traeger Park, Alice Springs, on Saturday night.
This clash will have huge ramifications on the finals, with the Demons needing a victory to stay in touch with the top eight and the Saints pushing for a top four position.
Both teams are coming off disappointing losses and will not want to lose successive games, with finals, in this shortened season, drawing closer.
Melbourne were thoroughly outpointed by the Western Bulldogs on Saturday after a strong run of form, which means punters will have to consider whether this was a one-off performance, or the typical Demons rollercoaster.
The Saints threatened to snatch a low-scoring battle against Brisbane on Sunday, but ultimately fell short by two points, despite dominating the final quarter.
St Kilda are the favourites in the betting, priced at $1.71 with Unibet, and the Demons are the underdogs at $2.15. The $1.90 line has been set at 4.5 which is too narrow for our tastes.
The Demons have reacted savagely to their disappointing showing by dropping five players, including talented forward Bayley Fritsch, James Harmes, ruckman Braydon Preuss, Tom McDonald and Jay Lockhart. Tom Sparrow is out injured.
They have been boosted by skipper Max Gawn, Josh Wagner, Nathan Jones, Oscar McDonald and Trent Rivers as they search for a winning formula. Fritsch was dropped by coach Simon Goodwin after turning up late for the Demons’ final training session of the week.
St Kilda have recalled Ed Phillips and Hunter Clark in a huge boost to their running stocks, with youngster Jack Bytel and and defender Jake Carlisle both omitted. Carlisle is a surprise omission given he joined the Saints on big dollar contract from Essendon.
Read on for our free Melbourne v St Kilda tips ahead of their clash at TIO Traeger Park from 7.40pm on Saturday.
Demons v Saints odds
|Start:||7.40pm AEST, August 29|
|Venue:||Traeger Park, Alice Springs|
|Head-to-head odds:||Melbourne ($2.02) v St Kilda ($1.82)|
|Line betting:||Melbourne +4.5 ($1.90) v St Kilda -4.5 ($1.90)|
|Premiership odds:||Melbourne $41; St Kilda $34|
Melbourne v St Kilda tips
Our AFL betting expert has scoured the odds and found several Demons v Saints tips for Saturday’s game.
St Kilda to win by 24 points or less
The Saints are slightly more dependable than the Demons but we don’t think this game will be a blowout. The Saints to win by 24 points or less is paying $2.95 and looks to be good value. This market is available at Unibet.
St Kilda to win and match total to be over 125.5
This is a doubles market at Unibet, with St Kilda to win and the total match points to be over 125.5 paying $3.25. There are other options in this market at Unibet, with the Demons paying $3.90 with the same points line.
Jack Billings to get most Super Coach points
This is a market available at Unibet Australia, and allows us to bet on who will get the most Super Coach points out of a certain group of participating players. St Kilda ace Jack Steele is paying $4 in this market, but we’re going to back in his teammate Jack Billings at $6.50. While Demons Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver are also in this group, the way Billings finished against Brisbane last game has us thinking he’s run into some good form. Steele could also be given the job of making sure Petracca doesn’t run rampant at stoppages. We’re also willing to bet against Oliver, whose iffy disposal can make him a trap in these types of betting markets.
Melbourne Demons v St Kilda Saints prediction 29/8/2020
The Demons were bitterly disappointed after the Bulldogs’ loss and desperately need to hit back here. They have swung the axe hard at selection and regain their star big man Max Gawn, but St Kilda do look to have the edge up forward. Especially with Fritsch out of the Demons line-up, I just can’t see the Demons kicking enough goals to beat St Kilda here. Our final Melbourne v St Kilda prediction? Saints by 21 points.
Melbourne vs St Kilda lowdown
Subscription TV: Foxtel; streaming/IPTV: Kayo; mobile: AFL Live Pass.
All of the top online betting sites will offer markets on the AFL.
The game starts at 7:40pm on August 29, 2020.
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